CHOLAHLDNG
Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited (CHOLAHLDNG) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CHOLAHLDNG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited (CHOLAHLDNG) trades at ₹1,628,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100.
On the numbers, Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited (CHOLAHLDNG) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.5× earnings, ROE of 17.5%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CHOLAHLDNG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How CHOLAHLDNG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- CHOLAHLDNG's market cap of 30,570 Cr ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHOLAHLDNG's book value of ₹823 ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHOLAHLDNG's promoter holding of 46.4% ranks in the 25th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHOLAHLDNG's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 24.0% ranks in the 62nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHOLAHLDNG's 3-year revenue growth of 29.0% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for CHOLAHLDNG, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is CHOLAHLDNG overvalued? CHOLAHLDNG P/E vs peers
CHOLAHLDNG trades at 12.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
CHOLAHLDNG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CHOLAHLDNG history (15%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHOLAHLDNG 2027 | ₹1,044 | ₹1,712 | ₹2,808 | +5% |
| CHOLAHLDNG 2028 | ₹881 | ₹1,800 | ₹3,679 | +11% |
| CHOLAHLDNG 2029 | ₹807 | ₹1,893 | ₹4,439 | +16% |
| CHOLAHLDNG 2030 | ₹736 | ₹1,990 | ₹5,379 | +22% |
| CHOLAHLDNG 2031 | ₹694 | ₹2,092 | ₹6,305 | +29% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CHOLAHLDNG goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CHOLAHLDNG
- CHOLAHLDNG's P/E of 12.5x is lower than 81% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHOLAHLDNG's return on equity of 17.5% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,439.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹807.
CHOLAHLDNG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years CHOLAHLDNG compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,044-₹2,808, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CHOLAHLDNG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CHOLAHLDNG price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CHOLAHLDNG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CHOLAHLDNG price target & forecast page.
CHOLAHLDNG Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CHOLAHLDNG scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
CHOLAHLDNG MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CHOLAHLDNG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 32.91% | 3.0× |
| Zerodha | 32.88% | 3.0× |
| Groww | 32.91% | 3.0× |
| Dhan | 32.88% | 3.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 32.89% | 3.0× |
| Paytm Money | 32.91% | 3.0× |
| Pocketful | 33.24% | 3.0× |
| Fyers | 34.48% | 2.9× |
| Anand Rathi | 32.88% | 3.0× |
| Bajaj Broking | 34.00% | 2.9× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 32.86% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the CHOLAHLDNG MTF page.
About Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited (CHOLAHLDNG) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹30,570 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the CHOLAHLDNG Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CHOLAHLDNG analysis, FAQs
Is Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited (CHOLAHLDNG) a good buy?
On the numbers, Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited (CHOLAHLDNG) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.5× earnings, ROE of 17.5%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CHOLAHLDNG overvalued or undervalued?
CHOLAHLDNG trades at 12.5× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the CHOLAHLDNG share price target for 2031?
CHOLAHLDNG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,092, with an 80% range of ₹694-₹6,305 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CHOLAHLDNG doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CHOLAHLDNG reaching ₹3,256 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.
What is the bull case for CHOLAHLDNG?
CHOLAHLDNG's P/E of 12.5x is lower than 81% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CHOLAHLDNG's return on equity of 17.5% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in CHOLAHLDNG?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.