Case study

CIEINDIA

Cie Automotive India

Tread carefully1y model -13.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Cie Automotive India (CIEINDIA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CIEINDIA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Cie Automotive India (CIEINDIA) trades at ₹474,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100.

On the numbers, Cie Automotive India (CIEINDIA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.7× earnings, ROE of 11.8%, a 30% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CIEINDIA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹17,932 Cr
Current price
₹474
P/E ratio
20.7×
P/B ratio
2.41×
Book value
₹197
Dividend yield
1.48%
ROCE
14.7%
ROE
11.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is CIEINDIA overvalued? CIEINDIA P/E vs its sector

CIEINDIA's P/E of 20.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.48% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

CIEINDIA P/E
20.7×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
CIEINDIA div yield
1.48%
Peer median yield
1.65%

CIEINDIA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CIEINDIA history (-11%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CIEINDIA 2027₹280₹400₹576-14%
CIEINDIA 2028₹209₹348₹582-25%
CIEINDIA 2029₹160₹300₹570-35%
CIEINDIA 2030₹126₹259₹541-44%
CIEINDIA 2031₹100₹225₹509-52%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CIEINDIA goes up, or doubles?

30%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
13%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
1%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹928 within 5 years

The bull case for CIEINDIA

  • A 20.7× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹570.

The bear case & risks

  • Return on equity is a soft 11.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 30% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹160.

CIEINDIA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years CIEINDIA compounded at -11%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹280₹576, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CIEINDIA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
13.8%
80% range₹280–₹576
P(price ↑)30%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
35.3%
80% range₹160–₹570
P(price ↑)19%
P(price 2×)1%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
51.6%
80% range₹100–₹509
P(price ↑)13%
P(price 2×)1%

CIEINDIA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CIEINDIA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CIEINDIA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CIEINDIA price target & forecast page.

CIEINDIA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CIEINDIA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

CIEINDIA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CIEINDIA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST29.5%3.4×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.5%3.4×
DhanCHEAPEST29.5%3.4×

Compare every broker on the CIEINDIA MTF page.

CIEINDIA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
CIEINDIA (this stock)20.7×1.48%₹17,932 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Cie Automotive India: sector, index & market-cap context

Cie Automotive India (CIEINDIA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹17,932 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the CIEINDIA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Cie Automotive India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CIEINDIA analysis, FAQs

Is Cie Automotive India (CIEINDIA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Cie Automotive India (CIEINDIA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.7× earnings, ROE of 11.8%, a 30% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CIEINDIA overvalued or undervalued?

CIEINDIA trades at 20.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the CIEINDIA share price target for 2031?

CIEINDIA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹225, with an 80% range of ₹100₹509 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CIEINDIA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CIEINDIA reaching ₹928 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.

What is the bull case for CIEINDIA?

A 20.7× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.

What are the risks in CIEINDIA?

Return on equity is a soft 11.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 30% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on CIEINDIA