Case study

CLSEL

Chaman Lal Setia Exports Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +1.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

64Score

Chaman Lal Setia Exports Limited (CLSEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CLSEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Chaman Lal Setia Exports Limited (CLSEL) trades at ₹278,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100.

On the numbers, Chaman Lal Setia Exports Limited (CLSEL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.0× earnings, ROE of 14.6%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CLSEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,383 Cr
Current price
₹278
P/E ratio
11.0×
P/B ratio
1.64×
Book value
₹169
Dividend yield
0.90%
ROCE
18.3%
ROE
14.6%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How CLSEL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is CLSEL overvalued? CLSEL P/E vs peers

CLSEL trades at 11.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

CLSEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CLSEL history (17%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CLSEL 2027₹155₹282₹512+1%
CLSEL 2028₹125₹286₹657+3%
CLSEL 2029₹105₹290₹803+4%
CLSEL 2030₹92₹295₹944+6%
CLSEL 2031₹81₹299₹1,103+7%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CLSEL goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
53%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹556 within 5 years

The bull case for CLSEL

  • CLSEL's P/E of 11.0x is lower than 84% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • CLSEL's return on equity of 14.6% ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • CLSEL's return on capital employed of 18.3% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹803.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹105.

CLSEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years CLSEL compounded at 17%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹155-₹512, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CLSEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.5%
80% range₹155-₹512
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.4%
80% range₹105-₹803
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
7.5%
80% range₹81-₹1,103
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)27%

CLSEL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CLSEL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CLSEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CLSEL price target & forecast page.

CLSEL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CLSEL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

CLSEL MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CLSEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha35.74%2.8×
Groww60.00%1.7×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
Pocketful36.09%2.8×
FyersCHEAPEST35.71%2.8×
Anand Rathi35.74%2.8×
Share India35.72%2.8×

Compare every broker on the CLSEL MTF page.

About Chaman Lal Setia Exports Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Chaman Lal Setia Exports Limited (CLSEL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,383 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the CLSEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Chaman Lal Setia Exports Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CLSEL analysis, FAQs

Is Chaman Lal Setia Exports Limited (CLSEL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Chaman Lal Setia Exports Limited (CLSEL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.0× earnings, ROE of 14.6%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CLSEL overvalued or undervalued?

CLSEL trades at 11.0× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the CLSEL share price target for 2031?

CLSEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹299, with an 80% range of ₹81-₹1,103 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CLSEL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CLSEL reaching ₹556 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for CLSEL?

CLSEL's P/E of 11.0x is lower than 84% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CLSEL's return on equity of 14.6% ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CLSEL's return on capital employed of 18.3% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in CLSEL?

High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on CLSEL