Case study

CONCOR

Container Corp of India

Tread carefully1y model -36.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Container Corp of India (CONCOR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CONCOR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Container Corp of India (CONCOR) trades at ₹474,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Container Corp of India (CONCOR) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 29.1× earnings, ROE of 9.8%, a 8% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CONCOR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹36,089 Cr
Current price
₹474
P/E ratio
29.1×
P/B ratio
2.79×
Book value
₹170
Dividend yield
1.94%
ROCE
12.4%
ROE
9.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is CONCOR overvalued? CONCOR P/E vs its sector

CONCOR's P/E of 29.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.94% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.

CONCOR P/E
29.1×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
CONCOR div yield
1.94%
Peer median yield
1.67%

CONCOR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CONCOR history (-41%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CONCOR 2027₹198₹300₹453-37%
CONCOR 2028₹106₹190₹337-60%
CONCOR 2029₹58₹121₹244-74%
CONCOR 2030₹33₹75₹171-84%
CONCOR 2031₹19₹48₹117-90%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CONCOR goes up, or doubles?

8%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
0%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹944 within 5 years

The bull case for CONCOR

  • Container Corp of India is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹244.

The bear case & risks

  • At 29.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • Return on equity is a soft 9.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 8% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹58.

CONCOR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years CONCOR compounded at -41%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹198₹453, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CONCOR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
36.5%
80% range₹198–₹453
P(price ↑)8%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
74.4%
80% range₹58–₹244
P(price ↑)1%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
89.9%
80% range₹19–₹117
P(price ↑)0%
P(price 2×)0%

CONCOR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CONCOR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CONCOR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CONCOR price target & forecast page.

CONCOR Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CONCOR scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

CONCOR MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CONCOR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox28.9%3.5×
Zerodha24.6%4.1×
DhanCHEAPEST23.0%4.3×

Compare every broker on the CONCOR MTF page.

CONCOR vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
CONCOR (this stock)29.1×1.94%₹36,089 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Container Corp of India: sector, index & market-cap context

Container Corp of India (CONCOR) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹36,089 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the CONCOR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Container Corp of India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CONCOR analysis, FAQs

Is Container Corp of India (CONCOR) a good buy?

On the numbers, Container Corp of India (CONCOR) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 29.1× earnings, ROE of 9.8%, a 8% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CONCOR overvalued or undervalued?

CONCOR trades at 29.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the CONCOR share price target for 2031?

CONCOR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹48, with an 80% range of ₹19₹117 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CONCOR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CONCOR reaching ₹944 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for CONCOR?

Container Corp of India is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in CONCOR?

At 29.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 9.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 8% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on CONCOR