Case study

CONCORDBIO

CONCORD BIOTECH LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +0.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

36Score

CONCORD BIOTECH LIMITED (CONCORDBIO) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CONCORDBIO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

CONCORD BIOTECH LIMITED (CONCORDBIO) trades at ₹1,365,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100.

On the numbers, CONCORD BIOTECH LIMITED (CONCORDBIO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 51.4× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CONCORDBIO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹14,280 Cr
Current price
₹1,365
P/E ratio
51.4×
P/B ratio
7.07×
Book value
₹193
Dividend yield
0.55%
ROCE
17.1%
ROE
12.5%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How CONCORDBIO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold 3-year profit (PAT) growth or debt-to-equity ratio figures for CONCORDBIO, as of 9 Aug 2026, so those are not ranked here.

Is CONCORDBIO overvalued? CONCORDBIO P/E vs peers

CONCORDBIO trades at 51.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

CONCORDBIO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.9y of CONCORDBIO history (13%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CONCORDBIO 2027₹765₹1,373₹2,462+1%
CONCORDBIO 2028₹618₹1,381₹3,086+1%
CONCORDBIO 2029₹513₹1,389₹3,758+2%
CONCORDBIO 2030₹438₹1,397₹4,458+2%
CONCORDBIO 2031₹383₹1,405₹5,155+3%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CONCORDBIO goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
51%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,730 within 5 years

The bull case for CONCORDBIO

  • CONCORDBIO's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,758.

The bear case & risks

  • CONCORDBIO's P/E of 51.4x is lower than 26% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹513.

CONCORDBIO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.9 years CONCORDBIO compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹765-₹2,462, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CONCORDBIO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.6%
80% range₹765-₹2,462
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.8%
80% range₹513-₹3,758
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.9%
80% range₹383-₹5,155
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)26%

CONCORDBIO price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CONCORDBIO simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CONCORDBIO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CONCORDBIO price target & forecast page.

CONCORDBIO Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CONCORDBIO scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

CONCORDBIO MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CONCORDBIO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox34.58%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.54%2.9×
Groww34.72%2.9×
Dhan34.54%2.9×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money34.72%2.9×
Pocketful34.65%2.9×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST34.54%2.9×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India34.68%2.9×

Compare every broker on the CONCORDBIO MTF page.

About CONCORD BIOTECH LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

CONCORD BIOTECH LIMITED (CONCORDBIO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹14,280 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the CONCORDBIO Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CONCORD BIOTECH LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CONCORDBIO analysis, FAQs

Is CONCORD BIOTECH LIMITED (CONCORDBIO) a good buy?

On the numbers, CONCORD BIOTECH LIMITED (CONCORDBIO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 51.4× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CONCORDBIO overvalued or undervalued?

CONCORDBIO trades at 51.4× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the CONCORDBIO share price target for 2031?

CONCORDBIO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,405, with an 80% range of ₹383-₹5,155 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CONCORDBIO doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CONCORDBIO reaching ₹2,730 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for CONCORDBIO?

CONCORDBIO's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in CONCORDBIO?

CONCORDBIO's P/E of 51.4x is lower than 26% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on CONCORDBIO