COROMANDEL
Coromandel Interntl
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Coromandel Interntl (COROMANDEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is COROMANDEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Coromandel Interntl (COROMANDEL) trades at ₹1,988,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, Coromandel Interntl (COROMANDEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 29.2× earnings, ROE of 17.0%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
COROMANDEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is COROMANDEL overvalued? COROMANDEL P/E vs its sector
COROMANDEL's P/E of 29.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.55% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
COROMANDEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of COROMANDEL history (13%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COROMANDEL 2027 | ₹1,411 | ₹2,144 | ₹3,236 | +8% |
| COROMANDEL 2028 | ₹1,294 | ₹2,321 | ₹4,185 | +17% |
| COROMANDEL 2029 | ₹1,248 | ₹2,514 | ₹5,100 | +26% |
| COROMANDEL 2030 | ₹1,210 | ₹2,761 | ₹6,218 | +39% |
| COROMANDEL 2031 | ₹1,187 | ₹2,971 | ₹7,364 | +49% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability COROMANDEL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for COROMANDEL
- A healthy 17.0% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (22.8%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,100.
The bear case & risks
- At 29.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,248.
COROMANDEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years COROMANDEL compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,411–₹3,236, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
COROMANDEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
COROMANDEL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds COROMANDEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the COROMANDEL price target & forecast page.
COROMANDEL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. COROMANDEL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
COROMANDEL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy COROMANDEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 30.7% | 3.3× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.7% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.7% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the COROMANDEL MTF page.
COROMANDEL vs peers,sector comparison
About Coromandel Interntl: sector, index & market-cap context
Coromandel Interntl (COROMANDEL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹58,658 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the COROMANDEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Coromandel Interntl's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
COROMANDEL analysis, FAQs
Is Coromandel Interntl (COROMANDEL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Coromandel Interntl (COROMANDEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 29.2× earnings, ROE of 17.0%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is COROMANDEL overvalued or undervalued?
COROMANDEL trades at 29.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the COROMANDEL share price target for 2031?
COROMANDEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,971, with an 80% range of ₹1,187–₹7,364 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability COROMANDEL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of COROMANDEL reaching ₹3,975 (2×) within 5 years is 34%.
What is the bull case for COROMANDEL?
A healthy 17.0% return on equity. Strong ROCE (22.8%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in COROMANDEL?
At 29.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.