COSMOFIRST
Cosmo First
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Cosmo First (COSMOFIRST) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is COSMOFIRST a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Cosmo First (COSMOFIRST) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
COSMOFIRST share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of COSMOFIRST history (0%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COSMOFIRST 2027 | ₹359 | ₹689 | ₹1,327 | -12% |
| COSMOFIRST 2028 | ₹250 | ₹609 | ₹1,505 | -22% |
| COSMOFIRST 2029 | ₹175 | ₹532 | ₹1,636 | -32% |
| COSMOFIRST 2030 | ₹131 | ₹478 | ₹1,735 | -39% |
| COSMOFIRST 2031 | ₹100 | ₹415 | ₹1,806 | -47% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability COSMOFIRST goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for COSMOFIRST
- Cosmo First is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,636.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹175.
COSMOFIRST volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years COSMOFIRST compounded at 0%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹359–₹1,327, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
COSMOFIRST price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
COSMOFIRST price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds COSMOFIRST hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the COSMOFIRST price target & forecast page.
COSMOFIRST MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy COSMOFIRST with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 36.6% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.6% | 2.7× |
| Dhan | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the COSMOFIRST MTF page.
COSMOFIRST vs peers,sector comparison
About Cosmo First: sector, index & market-cap context
Cosmo First (COSMOFIRST) is an NSE-listed company.
How the COSMOFIRST Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Cosmo First's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
COSMOFIRST analysis, FAQs
Is Cosmo First (COSMOFIRST) a good buy?
On the numbers, Cosmo First (COSMOFIRST) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is COSMOFIRST overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for COSMOFIRST are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the COSMOFIRST share price target for 2031?
COSMOFIRST's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹415, with an 80% range of ₹100–₹1,806 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability COSMOFIRST doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of COSMOFIRST reaching ₹1,562 (2×) within 5 years is 12%.
What is the bull case for COSMOFIRST?
Cosmo First is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in COSMOFIRST?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.