COSMOFIRST
COSMO FIRST LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
COSMO FIRST LIMITED (COSMOFIRST) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is COSMOFIRST a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
COSMO FIRST LIMITED (COSMOFIRST) trades at ₹892,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.
On the numbers, COSMO FIRST LIMITED (COSMOFIRST) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.7× earnings, ROE of 10.4%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
COSMOFIRST fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How COSMOFIRST ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- COSMOFIRST's market cap of 2,343 Cr ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- COSMOFIRST's book value of ₹616 ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- COSMOFIRST's promoter holding of 40.8% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- COSMOFIRST's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -13.0% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- COSMOFIRST's 3-year revenue growth of 6.0% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- COSMOFIRST's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.04x is lower than 14% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is COSMOFIRST overvalued? COSMOFIRST P/E vs peers
COSMOFIRST trades at 13.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
COSMOFIRST share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of COSMOFIRST history (15%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COSMOFIRST 2027 | ₹467 | ₹874 | ₹1,635 | -2% |
| COSMOFIRST 2028 | ₹349 | ₹856 | ₹2,101 | -4% |
| COSMOFIRST 2029 | ₹275 | ₹838 | ₹2,554 | -6% |
| COSMOFIRST 2030 | ₹235 | ₹821 | ₹2,867 | -8% |
| COSMOFIRST 2031 | ₹197 | ₹804 | ₹3,274 | -10% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability COSMOFIRST goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for COSMOFIRST
- COSMOFIRST's P/E of 13.7x is lower than 78% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 1.45×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,554.
The bear case & risks
- COSMOFIRST's return on equity of 10.4% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹275.
COSMOFIRST volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years COSMOFIRST compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹467-₹1,635, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
COSMOFIRST price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
COSMOFIRST price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds COSMOFIRST hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the COSMOFIRST price target & forecast page.
COSMOFIRST Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. COSMOFIRST scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
COSMOFIRST MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy COSMOFIRST with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 36.01% | 2.8× |
| Zerodha | 36.00% | 2.8× |
| Groww | 36.02% | 2.8× |
| Dhan | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 36.19% | 2.8× |
| Pocketful | 36.34% | 2.8× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 35.96% | 2.8× |
| Bajaj Broking | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share India | 35.97% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the COSMOFIRST MTF page.
About COSMO FIRST LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
COSMO FIRST LIMITED (COSMOFIRST) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,343 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the COSMOFIRST Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of COSMO FIRST LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
COSMOFIRST analysis, FAQs
Is COSMO FIRST LIMITED (COSMOFIRST) a good buy?
On the numbers, COSMO FIRST LIMITED (COSMOFIRST) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.7× earnings, ROE of 10.4%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is COSMOFIRST overvalued or undervalued?
COSMOFIRST trades at 13.7× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the COSMOFIRST share price target for 2031?
COSMOFIRST's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹804, with an 80% range of ₹197-₹3,274 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability COSMOFIRST doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of COSMOFIRST reaching ₹1,785 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.
What is the bull case for COSMOFIRST?
COSMOFIRST's P/E of 13.7x is lower than 78% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.45×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in COSMOFIRST?
COSMOFIRST's return on equity of 10.4% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.