Case study

CPPLUS

CPPLUS

Mixed signals1y model +271.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

CPPLUS (CPPLUS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CPPLUS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

CPPLUS (CPPLUS) trades at ₹3,632,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, CPPLUS (CPPLUS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 116.0× earnings, ROE of 25.4%, a 100% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CPPLUS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹42,784 Cr
Current price
₹3,632
P/E ratio
116.0×
P/B ratio
22.84×
Book value
₹159
ROCE
29.6%
ROE
25.4%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is CPPLUS overvalued? CPPLUS P/E vs its sector

CPPLUS's P/E of 116.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

CPPLUS P/E
116.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

CPPLUS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.9y of CPPLUS history (141%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CPPLUS 2027₹7,573₹13,506₹24,042+271%
CPPLUS 2028₹22,251₹50,239₹1,13,202+1281%
CPPLUS 2029₹70,726₹1,85,462₹5,00,114+4998%
CPPLUS 2030₹2,20,576₹6,93,986₹21,61,354+18977%
CPPLUS 2031₹7,27,460₹25,75,557₹93,90,682+70700%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CPPLUS goes up, or doubles?

100%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
100%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
100%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹7,276 within 5 years

The bull case for CPPLUS

  • High return on equity (25.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (29.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 100% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹13,506 (+271%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,00,114.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 116.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 22.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹70,726.

CPPLUS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 0.9 years CPPLUS compounded at 141%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹7,573₹24,042, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CPPLUS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 0.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
271.3%
80% range₹7,573–₹24,042
P(price ↑)100%
P(price 2×)91%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4998.2%
80% range₹70,726–₹5,00,114
P(price ↑)100%
P(price 2×)100%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
70699.8%
80% range₹7,27,460–₹93,90,682
P(price ↑)100%
P(price 2×)100%

CPPLUS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CPPLUS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CPPLUS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CPPLUS price target & forecast page.

CPPLUS Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CPPLUS scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

CPPLUS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CPPLUS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.5%3.1×

Compare every broker on the CPPLUS MTF page.

CPPLUS vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
CPPLUS (this stock)116.0×₹42,784 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About CPPLUS: sector, index & market-cap context

CPPLUS (CPPLUS) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹42,784 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the CPPLUS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CPPLUS's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CPPLUS analysis, FAQs

Is CPPLUS (CPPLUS) a good buy?

On the numbers, CPPLUS (CPPLUS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 116.0× earnings, ROE of 25.4%, a 100% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CPPLUS overvalued or undervalued?

CPPLUS trades at 116.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the CPPLUS share price target for 2031?

CPPLUS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹25,75,557, with an 80% range of ₹7,27,460₹93,90,682 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CPPLUS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CPPLUS reaching ₹7,276 (2×) within 5 years is 100%.

What is the bull case for CPPLUS?

High return on equity (25.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (29.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 100% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹13,506 (+271%).

What are the risks in CPPLUS?

A rich 116.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 22.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on CPPLUS