Case study

CRAFTSMAN

Craftsman Automation

Mixed signals1y model +33.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Craftsman Automation (CRAFTSMAN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CRAFTSMAN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Craftsman Automation (CRAFTSMAN) trades at ₹9,522,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, Craftsman Automation (CRAFTSMAN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing expensive at 59.1× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 77% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CRAFTSMAN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹22,607 Cr
Current price
₹9,522
P/E ratio
59.1×
P/B ratio
6.96×
Book value
₹1,368
Dividend yield
0.12%
ROCE
13.9%
ROE
12.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is CRAFTSMAN overvalued? CRAFTSMAN P/E vs its sector

CRAFTSMAN's P/E of 59.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.12% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

CRAFTSMAN P/E
59.1×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
CRAFTSMAN div yield
0.12%
Peer median yield
1.65%

CRAFTSMAN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CRAFTSMAN history (36%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CRAFTSMAN 2027₹7,900₹13,046₹21,436+33%
CRAFTSMAN 2028₹8,597₹17,298₹34,954+76%
CRAFTSMAN 2029₹9,685₹23,151₹55,492+136%
CRAFTSMAN 2030₹11,286₹30,978₹84,261+216%
CRAFTSMAN 2031₹13,399₹41,313₹1,25,922+321%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CRAFTSMAN goes up, or doubles?

77%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
95%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
80%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹19,613 within 5 years

The bull case for CRAFTSMAN

  • A healthy 12.5% return on equity.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 77% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹13,046 (+33%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹55,492.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 59.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹9,685.

CRAFTSMAN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years CRAFTSMAN compounded at 36%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹7,900₹21,436, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CRAFTSMAN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
33.0%
80% range₹7,900–₹21,436
P(price ↑)77%
P(price 2×)15%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
136.1%
80% range₹9,685–₹55,492
P(price ↑)90%
P(price 2×)60%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
321.3%
80% range₹13,399–₹1,25,922
P(price ↑)95%
P(price 2×)80%

CRAFTSMAN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CRAFTSMAN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CRAFTSMAN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CRAFTSMAN price target & forecast page.

CRAFTSMAN Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CRAFTSMAN scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

CRAFTSMAN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CRAFTSMAN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST33.0%3.0×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.0%3.0×
DhanCHEAPEST33.0%3.0×

Compare every broker on the CRAFTSMAN MTF page.

CRAFTSMAN vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
CRAFTSMAN (this stock)59.1×0.12%₹22,607 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Craftsman Automation: sector, index & market-cap context

Craftsman Automation (CRAFTSMAN) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹22,607 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the CRAFTSMAN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Craftsman Automation's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CRAFTSMAN analysis, FAQs

Is Craftsman Automation (CRAFTSMAN) a good buy?

On the numbers, Craftsman Automation (CRAFTSMAN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing expensive at 59.1× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 77% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CRAFTSMAN overvalued or undervalued?

CRAFTSMAN trades at 59.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the CRAFTSMAN share price target for 2031?

CRAFTSMAN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹41,313, with an 80% range of ₹13,399₹1,25,922 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CRAFTSMAN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CRAFTSMAN reaching ₹19,613 (2×) within 5 years is 80%.

What is the bull case for CRAFTSMAN?

A healthy 12.5% return on equity. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 77% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹13,046 (+33%).

What are the risks in CRAFTSMAN?

A rich 59.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.

More on CRAFTSMAN