Case study

CROMPTON

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited

Tread carefully1y model +5.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

43Score

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited (CROMPTON) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CROMPTON a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited (CROMPTON) trades at ₹250,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100.

On the numbers, Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited (CROMPTON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing premium at 35.5× earnings, ROE of 10.6%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CROMPTON fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹16,095 Cr
Current price
₹250
P/E ratio
35.5×
P/B ratio
5.42×
Book value
₹46
Dividend yield
1.20%
ROCE
18.1%
ROE
10.6%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How CROMPTON ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a promoter holding figure for CROMPTON, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is CROMPTON overvalued? CROMPTON P/E vs peers

CROMPTON trades at 35.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

CROMPTON share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CROMPTON history (4%/yr drift, 29%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CROMPTON 2027₹183₹265₹383+6%
CROMPTON 2028₹165₹280₹476+12%
CROMPTON 2029₹156₹297₹565+19%
CROMPTON 2030₹150₹314₹658+26%
CROMPTON 2031₹145₹333₹763+33%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CROMPTON goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
67%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹500 within 5 years

The bull case for CROMPTON

  • CROMPTON's return on capital employed of 18.1% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹565.

The bear case & risks

  • CROMPTON's P/E of 35.5x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • CROMPTON's return on equity of 10.6% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹156.

CROMPTON volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years CROMPTON compounded at 4%/year with annualized volatility of 29%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹183-₹383, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CROMPTON price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.9%
80% range₹183-₹383
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
18.8%
80% range₹156-₹565
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)15%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
33.2%
80% range₹145-₹763
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)26%

CROMPTON price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CROMPTON simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CROMPTON hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CROMPTON price target & forecast page.

CROMPTON Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CROMPTON scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

CROMPTON MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CROMPTON with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox25.83%3.9×
Zerodha25.40%3.9×
Groww25.01%4.0×
Dhan23.00%4.3×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST22.32%4.5×
Paytm Money22.40%4.5×
Pocketful29.17%3.4×
Fyers30.30%3.3×
Anand Rathi29.82%3.4×
Bajaj Broking24.00%4.2×
Share India29.38%3.4×

Compare every broker on the CROMPTON MTF page.

About Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited (CROMPTON) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹16,095 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the CROMPTON Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CROMPTON analysis, FAQs

Is Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited (CROMPTON) a good buy?

On the numbers, Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited (CROMPTON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing premium at 35.5× earnings, ROE of 10.6%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CROMPTON overvalued or undervalued?

CROMPTON trades at 35.5× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the CROMPTON share price target for 2031?

CROMPTON's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹333, with an 80% range of ₹145-₹763 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CROMPTON doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CROMPTON reaching ₹500 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for CROMPTON?

CROMPTON's return on capital employed of 18.1% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in CROMPTON?

CROMPTON's P/E of 35.5x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CROMPTON's return on equity of 10.6% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on CROMPTON