CROMPTON
Crompt Grea Con Elec
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Crompt Grea Con Elec (CROMPTON) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CROMPTON a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Crompt Grea Con Elec (CROMPTON) trades at ₹276,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100.
On the numbers, Crompt Grea Con Elec (CROMPTON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing expensive at 53.0× earnings, ROE of 10.6%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CROMPTON fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is CROMPTON overvalued? CROMPTON P/E vs its sector
CROMPTON's P/E of 53.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.09% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
CROMPTON share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CROMPTON history (-23%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CROMPTON 2027 | ₹144 | ₹210 | ₹301 | -24% |
| CROMPTON 2028 | ₹96 | ₹160 | ₹270 | -42% |
| CROMPTON 2029 | ₹65 | ₹122 | ₹231 | -56% |
| CROMPTON 2030 | ₹45 | ₹93 | ₹195 | -66% |
| CROMPTON 2031 | ₹31 | ₹72 | ₹165 | -74% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CROMPTON goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CROMPTON
- Strong ROCE (18.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹231.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 53.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 10.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹65.
CROMPTON volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years CROMPTON compounded at -23%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹144–₹301, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CROMPTON price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CROMPTON price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CROMPTON hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CROMPTON price target & forecast page.
CROMPTON Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CROMPTON scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
CROMPTON MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CROMPTON with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 29.5% | 3.4× |
| Zerodha | 25.1% | 4.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 23.0% | 4.3× |
Compare every broker on the CROMPTON MTF page.
CROMPTON vs peers,sector comparison
About Crompt Grea Con Elec: sector, index & market-cap context
Crompt Grea Con Elec (CROMPTON) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹17,769 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the CROMPTON Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Crompt Grea Con Elec's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CROMPTON analysis, FAQs
Is Crompt Grea Con Elec (CROMPTON) a good buy?
On the numbers, Crompt Grea Con Elec (CROMPTON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing expensive at 53.0× earnings, ROE of 10.6%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CROMPTON overvalued or undervalued?
CROMPTON trades at 53.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the CROMPTON share price target for 2031?
CROMPTON's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹72, with an 80% range of ₹31–₹165 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CROMPTON doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CROMPTON reaching ₹551 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for CROMPTON?
Strong ROCE (18.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in CROMPTON?
A rich 53.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 10.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.