Case study

CUB

City Union Bank Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +3.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

City Union Bank Limited (CUB) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CUB a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

City Union Bank Limited (CUB) trades at ₹212,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, City Union Bank Limited (CUB) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.0× earnings, ROE of 13.2%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CUB fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹21,005 Cr
Current price
₹212
P/E ratio
15.0×
P/B ratio
1.98×
Book value
₹107
Dividend yield
0.94%
ROCE
6.7%
ROE
13.2%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How CUB ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold promoter holding or debt-to-equity ratio figures for CUB, as of 9 Aug 2026, so those are not ranked here.

Is CUB overvalued? CUB P/E vs peers

CUB trades at 15.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

CUB share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CUB history (10%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CUB 2027₹143₹220₹339+4%
CUB 2028₹126₹229₹417+8%
CUB 2029₹113₹238₹501+12%
CUB 2030₹105₹247₹580+17%
CUB 2031₹99₹257₹667+21%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CUB goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
60%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹424 within 5 years

The bull case for CUB

  • CUB's P/E of 15.0x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • CUB's return on equity of 13.2% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹501.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹113.

CUB volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years CUB compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹143-₹339, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CUB price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.9%
80% range₹143-₹339
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
12.2%
80% range₹113-₹501
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)16%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
21.1%
80% range₹99-₹667
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)25%

CUB price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CUB simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CUB hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CUB price target & forecast page.

CUB Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CUB scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

CUB MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CUB with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox32.44%3.1×
Zerodha32.42%3.1×
Groww32.53%3.1×
Dhan32.42%3.1×
Kotak Neo32.47%3.1×
Paytm Money32.54%3.1×
PocketfulCHEAPEST31.98%3.1×
Anand Rathi32.42%3.1×
Bajaj Broking33.00%3.0×
Share India32.50%3.1×

Compare every broker on the CUB MTF page.

About City Union Bank Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

City Union Bank Limited (CUB) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹21,005 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the CUB Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of City Union Bank Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CUB analysis, FAQs

Is City Union Bank Limited (CUB) a good buy?

On the numbers, City Union Bank Limited (CUB) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.0× earnings, ROE of 13.2%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CUB overvalued or undervalued?

CUB trades at 15.0× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the CUB share price target for 2031?

CUB's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹257, with an 80% range of ₹99-₹667 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CUB doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CUB reaching ₹424 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for CUB?

CUB's P/E of 15.0x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CUB's return on equity of 13.2% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in CUB?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on CUB