DALBHARAT
Dalmia Bharat
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARAT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is DALBHARAT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARAT) trades at ₹1,711,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARAT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 29.6× earnings, ROE of 6.1%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
DALBHARAT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is DALBHARAT overvalued? DALBHARAT P/E vs its sector
DALBHARAT's P/E of 29.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.53% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
DALBHARAT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DALBHARAT history (-3%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DALBHARAT 2027 | ₹1,156 | ₹1,612 | ₹2,256 | -6% |
| DALBHARAT 2028 | ₹946 | ₹1,511 | ₹2,441 | -12% |
| DALBHARAT 2029 | ₹788 | ₹1,415 | ₹2,525 | -18% |
| DALBHARAT 2030 | ₹679 | ₹1,333 | ₹2,570 | -22% |
| DALBHARAT 2031 | ₹596 | ₹1,248 | ₹2,639 | -27% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability DALBHARAT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for DALBHARAT
- Dalmia Bharat is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,525.
The bear case & risks
- At 29.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 6.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹788.
DALBHARAT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years DALBHARAT compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,156–₹2,256, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
DALBHARAT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
DALBHARAT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds DALBHARAT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the DALBHARAT price target & forecast page.
DALBHARAT Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DALBHARAT scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
DALBHARAT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DALBHARAT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 28.9% | 3.5× |
| Zerodha | 24.7% | 4.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 22.5% | 4.4× |
Compare every broker on the DALBHARAT MTF page.
DALBHARAT vs peers,sector comparison
About Dalmia Bharat: sector, index & market-cap context
Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARAT) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹32,040 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the DALBHARAT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Dalmia Bharat's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
DALBHARAT analysis, FAQs
Is Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARAT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARAT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 29.6× earnings, ROE of 6.1%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is DALBHARAT overvalued or undervalued?
DALBHARAT trades at 29.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the DALBHARAT share price target for 2031?
DALBHARAT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,248, with an 80% range of ₹596–₹2,639 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability DALBHARAT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of DALBHARAT reaching ₹3,434 (2×) within 5 years is 4%.
What is the bull case for DALBHARAT?
Dalmia Bharat is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in DALBHARAT?
At 29.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 6.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.