DBL
Dilip Buildcon
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Dilip Buildcon (DBL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is DBL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Dilip Buildcon (DBL) trades at ₹455,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, Dilip Buildcon (DBL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.1× earnings, ROE of 10.3%, a 31% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
DBL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is DBL overvalued? DBL P/E vs its sector
DBL's P/E of 12.1× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 0.22% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
DBL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DBL history (-11%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBL 2027 | ₹221 | ₹364 | ₹592 | -17% |
| DBL 2028 | ₹151 | ₹302 | ₹603 | -31% |
| DBL 2029 | ₹107 | ₹249 | ₹588 | -43% |
| DBL 2030 | ₹78 | ₹208 | ₹555 | -53% |
| DBL 2031 | ₹57 | ₹172 | ₹514 | -61% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability DBL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for DBL
- Trades at just 12.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Low price-to-book of 1.08×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹588.
The bear case & risks
- Return on equity is a soft 10.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 31% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹107.
DBL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years DBL compounded at -11%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹221–₹592, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
DBL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
DBL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds DBL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the DBL price target & forecast page.
DBL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DBL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
DBL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DBL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.9% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.9% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the DBL MTF page.
DBL vs peers,sector comparison
About Dilip Buildcon: sector, index & market-cap context
Dilip Buildcon (DBL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,388 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the DBL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Dilip Buildcon's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
DBL analysis, FAQs
Is Dilip Buildcon (DBL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Dilip Buildcon (DBL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.1× earnings, ROE of 10.3%, a 31% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is DBL overvalued or undervalued?
DBL trades at 12.1× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the DBL share price target for 2031?
DBL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹172, with an 80% range of ₹57–₹514 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability DBL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of DBL reaching ₹879 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.
What is the bull case for DBL?
Trades at just 12.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 1.08×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in DBL?
Return on equity is a soft 10.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 31% chance of finishing above today's price.