Case study

DBOL

DBOL

Tread carefully1y model -19.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

DBOL (DBOL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is DBOL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

DBOL (DBOL) trades at ₹115,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, DBOL (DBOL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 30.2× earnings, ROE of 2.5%, a 30% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DBOL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹760 Cr
Current price
₹115
P/E ratio
30.2×
P/B ratio
0.74×
Book value
₹155
Dividend yield
1.31%
ROCE
4.9%
ROE
2.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is DBOL overvalued? DBOL P/E vs its sector

DBOL's P/E of 30.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.31% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

DBOL P/E
30.2×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
DBOL div yield
1.31%
Peer median yield
1.65%

DBOL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DBOL history (-13%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DBOL 2027₹54₹94₹161-20%
DBOL 2028₹35₹77₹161-35%
DBOL 2029₹24₹61₹153-48%
DBOL 2030₹16₹49₹144-58%
DBOL 2031₹12₹39₹130-67%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DBOL goes up, or doubles?

30%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
12%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
3%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹235 within 5 years

The bull case for DBOL

  • Low price-to-book of 0.74×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹153.

The bear case & risks

  • At 30.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • Return on equity is a soft 2.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 30% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹24.

DBOL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years DBOL compounded at -13%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹54₹161, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DBOL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
19.7%
80% range₹54–₹161
P(price ↑)30%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
48.0%
80% range₹24–₹153
P(price ↑)18%
P(price 2×)3%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
66.8%
80% range₹12–₹130
P(price ↑)12%
P(price 2×)3%

DBOL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DBOL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DBOL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DBOL price target & forecast page.

DBOL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DBOL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

DBOL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DBOL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the DBOL MTF page.

DBOL vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
DBOL (this stock)30.2×1.31%₹760 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About DBOL: sector, index & market-cap context

DBOL (DBOL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹760 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the DBOL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of DBOL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DBOL analysis, FAQs

Is DBOL (DBOL) a good buy?

On the numbers, DBOL (DBOL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 30.2× earnings, ROE of 2.5%, a 30% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DBOL overvalued or undervalued?

DBOL trades at 30.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the DBOL share price target for 2031?

DBOL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹39, with an 80% range of ₹12₹130 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DBOL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DBOL reaching ₹235 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.

What is the bull case for DBOL?

Low price-to-book of 0.74×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in DBOL?

At 30.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 2.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 30% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on DBOL