DCMSHRIRAM
DCM Shriram
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
DCM Shriram (DCMSHRIRAM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is DCMSHRIRAM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
DCM Shriram (DCMSHRIRAM) trades at ₹1,043,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, DCM Shriram (DCMSHRIRAM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.6× earnings, ROE of 11.8%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
DCMSHRIRAM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is DCMSHRIRAM overvalued? DCMSHRIRAM P/E vs its sector
DCMSHRIRAM's P/E of 18.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.86% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
DCMSHRIRAM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DCMSHRIRAM history (3%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCMSHRIRAM 2027 | ₹637 | ₹1,015 | ₹1,606 | -4% |
| DCMSHRIRAM 2028 | ₹498 | ₹979 | ₹1,909 | -7% |
| DCMSHRIRAM 2029 | ₹410 | ₹931 | ₹2,133 | -12% |
| DCMSHRIRAM 2030 | ₹349 | ₹896 | ₹2,315 | -15% |
| DCMSHRIRAM 2031 | ₹303 | ₹855 | ₹2,397 | -19% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability DCMSHRIRAM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for DCMSHRIRAM
- A 18.6× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,133.
The bear case & risks
- Return on equity is a soft 11.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹410.
DCMSHRIRAM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years DCMSHRIRAM compounded at 3%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹637–₹1,606, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
DCMSHRIRAM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
DCMSHRIRAM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds DCMSHRIRAM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the DCMSHRIRAM price target & forecast page.
DCMSHRIRAM Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DCMSHRIRAM scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
DCMSHRIRAM MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DCMSHRIRAM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 31.6% | 3.2× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.6% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 31.6% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the DCMSHRIRAM MTF page.
DCMSHRIRAM vs peers,sector comparison
About DCM Shriram: sector, index & market-cap context
DCM Shriram (DCMSHRIRAM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹16,232 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the DCMSHRIRAM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of DCM Shriram's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
DCMSHRIRAM analysis, FAQs
Is DCM Shriram (DCMSHRIRAM) a good buy?
On the numbers, DCM Shriram (DCMSHRIRAM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.6× earnings, ROE of 11.8%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is DCMSHRIRAM overvalued or undervalued?
DCMSHRIRAM trades at 18.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the DCMSHRIRAM share price target for 2031?
DCMSHRIRAM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹855, with an 80% range of ₹303–₹2,397 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability DCMSHRIRAM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of DCMSHRIRAM reaching ₹2,107 (2×) within 5 years is 13%.
What is the bull case for DCMSHRIRAM?
A 18.6× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
What are the risks in DCMSHRIRAM?
Return on equity is a soft 11.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.