Case study

DECCANCE

DECCAN CEMENTS LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +2.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

DECCAN CEMENTS LIMITED (DECCANCE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is DECCANCE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

DECCAN CEMENTS LIMITED (DECCANCE) trades at ₹579,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, DECCAN CEMENTS LIMITED (DECCANCE) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 45.4× earnings, ROE of 2.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DECCANCE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹812 Cr
Current price
₹579
P/E ratio
45.4×
P/B ratio
1.08×
Book value
₹536
Dividend yield
0.10%
ROCE
3.3%
ROE
2.4%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How DECCANCE ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is DECCANCE overvalued? DECCANCE P/E vs peers

DECCANCE trades at 45.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

DECCANCE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of DECCANCE history (2%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DECCANCE 2027₹347₹594₹1,018+3%
DECCANCE 2028₹282₹609₹1,317+5%
DECCANCE 2029₹244₹625₹1,604+8%
DECCANCE 2030₹211₹641₹1,946+11%
DECCANCE 2031₹189₹658₹2,283+14%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DECCANCE goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,159 within 5 years

The bull case for DECCANCE

  • Low price-to-book of 1.08×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,604.

The bear case & risks

  • DECCANCE's P/E of 45.4x is lower than 29% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • DECCANCE's return on equity of 2.4% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹244.

DECCANCE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years DECCANCE compounded at 2%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹347-₹1,018, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DECCANCE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.6%
80% range₹347-₹1,018
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.9%
80% range₹244-₹1,604
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
13.5%
80% range₹189-₹2,283
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)28%

DECCANCE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DECCANCE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DECCANCE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DECCANCE price target & forecast page.

DECCANCE Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. DECCANCE scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

DECCANCE MTF margin & leverage across 6 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DECCANCE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 6 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Groww33.61%3.0×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Bajaj Broking37.00%2.7×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST33.49%3.0×

Compare every broker on the DECCANCE MTF page.

About DECCAN CEMENTS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

DECCAN CEMENTS LIMITED (DECCANCE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹812 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the DECCANCE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of DECCAN CEMENTS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DECCANCE analysis, FAQs

Is DECCAN CEMENTS LIMITED (DECCANCE) a good buy?

On the numbers, DECCAN CEMENTS LIMITED (DECCANCE) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 45.4× earnings, ROE of 2.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DECCANCE overvalued or undervalued?

DECCANCE trades at 45.4× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the DECCANCE share price target for 2031?

DECCANCE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹658, with an 80% range of ₹189-₹2,283 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DECCANCE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DECCANCE reaching ₹1,159 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for DECCANCE?

Low price-to-book of 1.08×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in DECCANCE?

DECCANCE's P/E of 45.4x is lower than 29% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. DECCANCE's return on equity of 2.4% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on DECCANCE