DECNGOLD
Deccan Gold Mines Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Deccan Gold Mines Limited (DECNGOLD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is DECNGOLD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Deccan Gold Mines Limited (DECNGOLD) trades at ₹216,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100.
On the numbers, Deccan Gold Mines Limited (DECNGOLD) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing premium at 25.1× earnings, ROE of -14.1%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
DECNGOLD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How DECNGOLD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- DECNGOLD's market cap of 4,296 Cr ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- DECNGOLD's book value of ₹25 ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- DECNGOLD's promoter holding of 20.5% ranks in the bottom 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- DECNGOLD's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 33.0% ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- DECNGOLD's 3-year revenue growth of 250.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- DECNGOLD's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10x is lower than 77% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is DECNGOLD overvalued? DECNGOLD P/E vs peers
DECNGOLD trades at 25.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
DECNGOLD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of DECNGOLD history (13%/yr drift, 60%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DECNGOLD 2027 | ₹95 | ₹206 | ₹445 | -4% |
| DECNGOLD 2028 | ₹68 | ₹197 | ₹574 | -9% |
| DECNGOLD 2029 | ₹52 | ₹188 | ₹687 | -13% |
| DECNGOLD 2030 | ₹39 | ₹180 | ₹825 | -17% |
| DECNGOLD 2031 | ₹32 | ₹172 | ₹930 | -20% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability DECNGOLD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for DECNGOLD
- Deccan Gold Mines Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹687.
The bear case & risks
- DECNGOLD's P/E of 25.1x is lower than 53% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 8.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- DECNGOLD's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (60%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹52.
DECNGOLD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years DECNGOLD compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 60%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹95-₹445, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
DECNGOLD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
DECNGOLD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds DECNGOLD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the DECNGOLD price target & forecast page.
DECNGOLD Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. DECNGOLD scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.
DECNGOLD MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DECNGOLD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 45.69% | 2.2× |
| Zerodha | 45.70% | 2.2× |
| Groww | 45.69% | 2.2× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 45.69% | 2.2× |
| Pocketful | 45.90% | 2.2× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 45.17% | 2.2× |
Compare every broker on the DECNGOLD MTF page.
About Deccan Gold Mines Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Deccan Gold Mines Limited (DECNGOLD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,296 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the DECNGOLD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Deccan Gold Mines Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
DECNGOLD analysis, FAQs
Is Deccan Gold Mines Limited (DECNGOLD) a good buy?
On the numbers, Deccan Gold Mines Limited (DECNGOLD) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing premium at 25.1× earnings, ROE of -14.1%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is DECNGOLD overvalued or undervalued?
DECNGOLD trades at 25.1× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the DECNGOLD share price target for 2031?
DECNGOLD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹172, with an 80% range of ₹32-₹930 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability DECNGOLD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of DECNGOLD reaching ₹432 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for DECNGOLD?
Deccan Gold Mines Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in DECNGOLD?
DECNGOLD's P/E of 25.1x is lower than 53% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 8.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. DECNGOLD's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.