DEEPAKFERT
Deepak Fertilizers & Petr
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Deepak Fertilizers & Petr (DEEPAKFERT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is DEEPAKFERT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Deepak Fertilizers & Petr (DEEPAKFERT) trades at ₹1,603,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100.
On the numbers, Deepak Fertilizers & Petr (DEEPAKFERT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 27.5× earnings, ROE of 11.3%, a 74% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
DEEPAKFERT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is DEEPAKFERT overvalued? DEEPAKFERT P/E vs its sector
DEEPAKFERT's P/E of 27.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.62% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
DEEPAKFERT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DEEPAKFERT history (43%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEEPAKFERT 2027 | ₹1,162 | ₹2,131 | ₹3,922 | +36% |
| DEEPAKFERT 2028 | ₹1,258 | ₹2,950 | ₹6,979 | +89% |
| DEEPAKFERT 2029 | ₹1,413 | ₹4,081 | ₹11,510 | +161% |
| DEEPAKFERT 2030 | ₹1,635 | ₹5,517 | ₹18,184 | +253% |
| DEEPAKFERT 2031 | ₹1,970 | ₹7,526 | ₹28,728 | +381% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability DEEPAKFERT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for DEEPAKFERT
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 74% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,131 (+36%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹11,510.
The bear case & risks
- At 27.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 11.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,413.
DEEPAKFERT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years DEEPAKFERT compounded at 43%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,162–₹3,922, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
DEEPAKFERT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
DEEPAKFERT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds DEEPAKFERT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the DEEPAKFERT price target & forecast page.
DEEPAKFERT Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DEEPAKFERT scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
DEEPAKFERT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DEEPAKFERT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 36.0% | 2.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.0% | 2.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 36.0% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the DEEPAKFERT MTF page.
DEEPAKFERT vs peers,sector comparison
About Deepak Fertilizers & Petr: sector, index & market-cap context
Deepak Fertilizers & Petr (DEEPAKFERT) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹20,265 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the DEEPAKFERT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Deepak Fertilizers & Petr's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
DEEPAKFERT analysis, FAQs
Is Deepak Fertilizers & Petr (DEEPAKFERT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Deepak Fertilizers & Petr (DEEPAKFERT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 27.5× earnings, ROE of 11.3%, a 74% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is DEEPAKFERT overvalued or undervalued?
DEEPAKFERT trades at 27.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the DEEPAKFERT share price target for 2031?
DEEPAKFERT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹7,526, with an 80% range of ₹1,970–₹28,728 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability DEEPAKFERT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of DEEPAKFERT reaching ₹3,127 (2×) within 5 years is 80%.
What is the bull case for DEEPAKFERT?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 74% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,131 (+36%).
What are the risks in DEEPAKFERT?
At 27.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 11.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.