Case study

DEEPAKNTR

Deepak Nitrite

High-risk on the numbers1y model -23.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Deepak Nitrite (DEEPAKNTR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is DEEPAKNTR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Deepak Nitrite (DEEPAKNTR) trades at ₹1,672,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.

On the numbers, Deepak Nitrite (DEEPAKNTR) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 40.7× earnings, ROE of 10.0%, a 19% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DEEPAKNTR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹22,788 Cr
Current price
₹1,672
P/E ratio
40.7×
P/B ratio
3.91×
Book value
₹428
Dividend yield
0.45%
ROCE
11.5%
ROE
10.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is DEEPAKNTR overvalued? DEEPAKNTR P/E vs its sector

DEEPAKNTR's P/E of 40.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.45% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

DEEPAKNTR P/E
40.7×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
DEEPAKNTR div yield
0.45%
Peer median yield
1.65%

DEEPAKNTR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DEEPAKNTR history (-22%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DEEPAKNTR 2027₹846₹1,257₹1,869-24%
DEEPAKNTR 2028₹540₹969₹1,692-41%
DEEPAKNTR 2029₹364₹735₹1,478-55%
DEEPAKNTR 2030₹250₹566₹1,272-66%
DEEPAKNTR 2031₹175₹433₹1,074-74%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DEEPAKNTR goes up, or doubles?

19%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
3%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,289 within 5 years

The bull case for DEEPAKNTR

  • Deepak Nitrite is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,478.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 40.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 10.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 19% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹364.

DEEPAKNTR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years DEEPAKNTR compounded at -22%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹846₹1,869, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DEEPAKNTR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
23.5%
80% range₹846–₹1,869
P(price ↑)19%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
55.3%
80% range₹364–₹1,478
P(price ↑)7%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
73.7%
80% range₹175–₹1,074
P(price ↑)3%
P(price 2×)0%

DEEPAKNTR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DEEPAKNTR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DEEPAKNTR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DEEPAKNTR price target & forecast page.

DEEPAKNTR Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DEEPAKNTR scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

DEEPAKNTR MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DEEPAKNTR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST29.9%3.3×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.9%3.3×
Dhan30.0%3.3×

Compare every broker on the DEEPAKNTR MTF page.

DEEPAKNTR vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
DEEPAKNTR (this stock)40.7×0.45%₹22,788 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Deepak Nitrite: sector, index & market-cap context

Deepak Nitrite (DEEPAKNTR) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹22,788 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the DEEPAKNTR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Deepak Nitrite's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DEEPAKNTR analysis, FAQs

Is Deepak Nitrite (DEEPAKNTR) a good buy?

On the numbers, Deepak Nitrite (DEEPAKNTR) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 40.7× earnings, ROE of 10.0%, a 19% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DEEPAKNTR overvalued or undervalued?

DEEPAKNTR trades at 40.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the DEEPAKNTR share price target for 2031?

DEEPAKNTR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹433, with an 80% range of ₹175₹1,074 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DEEPAKNTR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DEEPAKNTR reaching ₹3,289 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for DEEPAKNTR?

Deepak Nitrite is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in DEEPAKNTR?

A rich 40.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 10.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 19% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on DEEPAKNTR