Case study

DEEPAKNTR

Deepak Nitrite Limited

Mixed signals1y model +11.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

Deepak Nitrite Limited (DEEPAKNTR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is DEEPAKNTR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Deepak Nitrite Limited (DEEPAKNTR) trades at ₹1,796,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Deepak Nitrite Limited (DEEPAKNTR) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 30.9× earnings, ROE of 9.8%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DEEPAKNTR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹24,503 Cr
Current price
₹1,796
P/E ratio
30.9×
P/B ratio
4.20×
Book value
₹428
Dividend yield
0.42%
ROCE
11.4%
ROE
9.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How DEEPAKNTR ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a 3-year revenue growth figure for DEEPAKNTR, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is DEEPAKNTR overvalued? DEEPAKNTR P/E vs peers

DEEPAKNTR trades at 30.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

DEEPAKNTR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of DEEPAKNTR history (29%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DEEPAKNTR 2027₹1,339₹1,999₹2,986+11%
DEEPAKNTR 2028₹1,251₹2,225₹3,957+24%
DEEPAKNTR 2029₹1,247₹2,476₹4,919+38%
DEEPAKNTR 2030₹1,250₹2,756₹6,078+53%
DEEPAKNTR 2031₹1,262₹3,067₹7,457+71%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DEEPAKNTR goes up, or doubles?

64%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
78%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
41%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,593 within 5 years

The bull case for DEEPAKNTR

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,999 (+11%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,919.

The bear case & risks

  • DEEPAKNTR's P/E of 30.9x is lower than 45% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • DEEPAKNTR's return on equity of 9.8% ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,247.

DEEPAKNTR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years DEEPAKNTR compounded at 29%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,339-₹2,986, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DEEPAKNTR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
11.3%
80% range₹1,339-₹2,986
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
37.8%
80% range₹1,247-₹4,919
P(price ↑)73%
P(price 2×)24%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
70.7%
80% range₹1,262-₹7,457
P(price ↑)78%
P(price 2×)41%

DEEPAKNTR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DEEPAKNTR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DEEPAKNTR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DEEPAKNTR price target & forecast page.

DEEPAKNTR Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. DEEPAKNTR scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

DEEPAKNTR MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DEEPAKNTR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST29.71%3.4×
Zerodha29.74%3.4×
Groww29.79%3.4×
Dhan30.00%3.3×
Kotak Neo30.03%3.3×
Paytm Money30.19%3.3×
Pocketful29.86%3.3×
Fyers30.30%3.3×
Anand Rathi29.74%3.4×
Bajaj Broking32.00%3.1×
Share India29.79%3.4×

Compare every broker on the DEEPAKNTR MTF page.

About Deepak Nitrite Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Deepak Nitrite Limited (DEEPAKNTR) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹24,503 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the DEEPAKNTR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Deepak Nitrite Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DEEPAKNTR analysis, FAQs

Is Deepak Nitrite Limited (DEEPAKNTR) a good buy?

On the numbers, Deepak Nitrite Limited (DEEPAKNTR) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 30.9× earnings, ROE of 9.8%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DEEPAKNTR overvalued or undervalued?

DEEPAKNTR trades at 30.9× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the DEEPAKNTR share price target for 2031?

DEEPAKNTR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,067, with an 80% range of ₹1,262-₹7,457 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DEEPAKNTR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DEEPAKNTR reaching ₹3,593 (2×) within 5 years is 41%.

What is the bull case for DEEPAKNTR?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,999 (+11%).

What are the risks in DEEPAKNTR?

DEEPAKNTR's P/E of 30.9x is lower than 45% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. DEEPAKNTR's return on equity of 9.8% ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on DEEPAKNTR