Case study

DELHIVERY

Delhivery

High-risk on the numbers1y model +3.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Delhivery (DELHIVERY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is DELHIVERY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Delhivery (DELHIVERY) trades at ₹484,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.

On the numbers, Delhivery (DELHIVERY) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 203.0× earnings, ROE of 1.9%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DELHIVERY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹36,249 Cr
Current price
₹484
P/E ratio
203.0×
P/B ratio
3.75×
Book value
₹129
ROCE
2.8%
ROE
1.9%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is DELHIVERY overvalued? DELHIVERY P/E vs its sector

DELHIVERY's P/E of 203.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

DELHIVERY P/E
203.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

DELHIVERY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DELHIVERY history (8%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DELHIVERY 2027₹316₹476₹713+3%
DELHIVERY 2028₹279₹493₹881+7%
DELHIVERY 2029₹252₹510₹1,029+11%
DELHIVERY 2030₹232₹524₹1,205+14%
DELHIVERY 2031₹220₹543₹1,374+18%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DELHIVERY goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹922 within 5 years

The bull case for DELHIVERY

  • Delhivery is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,029.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 203.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 1.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹252.

DELHIVERY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years DELHIVERY compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹316₹713, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DELHIVERY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.3%
80% range₹316–₹713
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.6%
80% range₹252–₹1,029
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)14%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
17.7%
80% range₹220–₹1,374
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)23%

DELHIVERY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DELHIVERY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DELHIVERY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DELHIVERY price target & forecast page.

DELHIVERY Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DELHIVERY scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

DELHIVERY MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DELHIVERY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox30.1%3.3×
Zerodha25.7%3.9×
Groww25.7%3.9×
DhanCHEAPEST23.1%4.3×

Compare every broker on the DELHIVERY MTF page.

DELHIVERY vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
DELHIVERY (this stock)203.0×₹36,249 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Delhivery: sector, index & market-cap context

Delhivery (DELHIVERY) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹36,249 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the DELHIVERY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Delhivery's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DELHIVERY analysis, FAQs

Is Delhivery (DELHIVERY) a good buy?

On the numbers, Delhivery (DELHIVERY) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 203.0× earnings, ROE of 1.9%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DELHIVERY overvalued or undervalued?

DELHIVERY trades at 203.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the DELHIVERY share price target for 2031?

DELHIVERY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹543, with an 80% range of ₹220₹1,374 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DELHIVERY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DELHIVERY reaching ₹922 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for DELHIVERY?

Delhivery is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in DELHIVERY?

A rich 203.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 1.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on DELHIVERY