Case study

DEVYANI

Devyani International Limited

Mixed signals1y model +3.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

54Score

Devyani International Limited (DEVYANI) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is DEVYANI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Devyani International Limited (DEVYANI) trades at ₹135,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100.

On the numbers, Devyani International Limited (DEVYANI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.5× earnings, ROE of -1.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DEVYANI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹16,611 Cr
Current price
₹135
P/E ratio
12.5×
P/B ratio
10.80×
Book value
₹13
ROCE
4.8%
ROE
-1.6%
Piotroski F-Score
2/8

How DEVYANI ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is DEVYANI overvalued? DEVYANI P/E vs peers

DEVYANI trades at 12.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

DEVYANI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 4.9y of DEVYANI history (2%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DEVYANI 2027₹86₹139₹225+3%
DEVYANI 2028₹73₹144₹283+7%
DEVYANI 2029₹66₹149₹339+11%
DEVYANI 2030₹59₹154₹406+14%
DEVYANI 2031₹54₹159₹471+18%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DEVYANI goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
58%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹269 within 5 years

The bull case for DEVYANI

  • DEVYANI's P/E of 12.5x is lower than 81% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹339.

The bear case & risks

  • A steep 10.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • DEVYANI's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹66.

DEVYANI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 4.9 years DEVYANI compounded at 2%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹86-₹225, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DEVYANI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 4.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.4%
80% range₹86-₹225
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.6%
80% range₹66-₹339
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
18.4%
80% range₹54-₹471
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)26%

DEVYANI price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DEVYANI simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DEVYANI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DEVYANI price target & forecast page.

DEVYANI Piotroski F-Score: 2/8, how financially strong is it?

2/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. DEVYANI scores 2/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

DEVYANI MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DEVYANI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox32.52%3.1×
Zerodha32.99%3.0×
Groww32.55%3.1×
Dhan32.99%3.0×
Kotak Neo33.00%3.0×
Paytm Money32.55%3.1×
Pocketful32.53%3.1×
Fyers33.33%3.0×
Anand Rathi32.99%3.0×
Bajaj Broking34.00%2.9×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST32.44%3.1×

Compare every broker on the DEVYANI MTF page.

About Devyani International Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Devyani International Limited (DEVYANI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company in the QSR sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹16,611 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the DEVYANI Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Devyani International Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DEVYANI analysis, FAQs

Is Devyani International Limited (DEVYANI) a good buy?

On the numbers, Devyani International Limited (DEVYANI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.5× earnings, ROE of -1.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DEVYANI overvalued or undervalued?

DEVYANI trades at 12.5× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the DEVYANI share price target for 2031?

DEVYANI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹159, with an 80% range of ₹54-₹471 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DEVYANI doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DEVYANI reaching ₹269 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for DEVYANI?

DEVYANI's P/E of 12.5x is lower than 81% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in DEVYANI?

A steep 10.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. DEVYANI's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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