DEVYANI
Devyani International
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Devyani International (DEVYANI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is DEVYANI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Devyani International (DEVYANI) trades at ₹117,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100.
On the numbers, Devyani International (DEVYANI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.5× earnings, ROE of -1.7%, a 24% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
DEVYANI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is DEVYANI overvalued? DEVYANI P/E vs its QSR
DEVYANI's P/E of 12.5× sits below the QSR peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers.
DEVYANI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DEVYANI history (-19%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEVYANI 2027 | ₹56 | ₹90 | ₹143 | -23% |
| DEVYANI 2028 | ₹35 | ₹70 | ₹135 | -40% |
| DEVYANI 2029 | ₹23 | ₹54 | ₹121 | -54% |
| DEVYANI 2030 | ₹16 | ₹41 | ₹107 | -65% |
| DEVYANI 2031 | ₹11 | ₹32 | ₹92 | -73% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability DEVYANI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for DEVYANI
- Trades at just 12.5× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹121.
The bear case & risks
- A steep 9.4× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 24% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹23.
DEVYANI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years DEVYANI compounded at -19%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹56–₹143, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
DEVYANI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
DEVYANI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds DEVYANI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the DEVYANI price target & forecast page.
DEVYANI Piotroski F-Score: 2/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DEVYANI scores 2/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
DEVYANI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DEVYANI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 33.0% | 3.0× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.0% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 33.0% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the DEVYANI MTF page.
DEVYANI vs peers,QSR comparison
About Devyani International: sector, index & market-cap context
Devyani International (DEVYANI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company in the QSR sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹14,457 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the DEVYANI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Devyani International's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
DEVYANI analysis, FAQs
Is Devyani International (DEVYANI) a good buy?
On the numbers, Devyani International (DEVYANI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.5× earnings, ROE of -1.7%, a 24% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is DEVYANI overvalued or undervalued?
DEVYANI trades at 12.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens cheaper than its QSR peers.
What is the DEVYANI share price target for 2031?
DEVYANI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹32, with an 80% range of ₹11–₹92 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability DEVYANI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of DEVYANI reaching ₹234 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for DEVYANI?
Trades at just 12.5× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
What are the risks in DEVYANI?
A steep 9.4× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 24% chance of finishing above today's price.