Case study

DIACABS

DIAMOND POWER INFRA LTD

Tread carefully1y model +17.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

DIAMOND POWER INFRA LTD (DIACABS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is DIACABS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

DIAMOND POWER INFRA LTD (DIACABS) trades at ₹208,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 32/100.

On the numbers, DIAMOND POWER INFRA LTD (DIACABS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 32/100, weighing expensive at 69.2× earnings, ROE of 1.0%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DIACABS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹10,942 Cr
Current price
₹208
P/E ratio
69.2×
Book value
₹-11
ROCE
26.5%
ROE
1.0%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is DIACABS overvalued? DIACABS P/E vs its sector

DIACABS's P/E of 69.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

DIACABS P/E
69.2×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

DIACABS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DIACABS history (28%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DIACABS 2027₹132₹246₹459+18%
DIACABS 2028₹121₹293₹692+40%
DIACABS 2029₹116₹348₹1,016+66%
DIACABS 2030₹117₹408₹1,421+95%
DIACABS 2031₹122₹473₹1,924+126%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DIACABS goes up, or doubles?

63%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
78%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
55%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹418 within 5 years

The bull case for DIACABS

  • Strong ROCE (26.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹246 (+18%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,016.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 69.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 1.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹116.

DIACABS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years DIACABS compounded at 28%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹132₹459, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DIACABS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
17.5%
80% range₹132–₹459
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)14%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
66.2%
80% range₹116–₹1,016
P(price ↑)72%
P(price 2×)41%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
126.2%
80% range₹122–₹1,924
P(price ↑)78%
P(price 2×)55%

DIACABS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DIACABS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DIACABS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DIACABS price target & forecast page.

DIACABS Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DIACABS scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

DIACABS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DIACABS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST37.2%2.7×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST37.2%2.7×
DhanCHEAPEST37.2%2.7×

Compare every broker on the DIACABS MTF page.

DIACABS vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
DIACABS (this stock)69.2×₹10,942 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About DIAMOND POWER INFRA LTD: sector, index & market-cap context

DIAMOND POWER INFRA LTD (DIACABS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,942 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the DIACABS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of DIAMOND POWER INFRA LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DIACABS analysis, FAQs

Is DIAMOND POWER INFRA LTD (DIACABS) a good buy?

On the numbers, DIAMOND POWER INFRA LTD (DIACABS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 32/100, weighing expensive at 69.2× earnings, ROE of 1.0%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DIACABS overvalued or undervalued?

DIACABS trades at 69.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the DIACABS share price target for 2031?

DIACABS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹473, with an 80% range of ₹122₹1,924 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DIACABS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DIACABS reaching ₹418 (2×) within 5 years is 55%.

What is the bull case for DIACABS?

Strong ROCE (26.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹246 (+18%).

What are the risks in DIACABS?

A rich 69.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 1.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on DIACABS