Case study

DIXON

Dixon Technologies (India) Limited

Mixed signals1y model +8.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

52Score

Dixon Technologies (India) Limited (DIXON) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is DIXON a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Dixon Technologies (India) Limited (DIXON) trades at ₹14,200,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, Dixon Technologies (India) Limited (DIXON) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 46.2× earnings, ROE of 37.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DIXON fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹86,822 Cr
Current price
₹14,200
P/E ratio
46.2×
P/B ratio
18.47×
Book value
₹769
Dividend yield
0.06%
ROCE
42.0%
ROE
37.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How DIXON ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener

Is DIXON overvalued? DIXON P/E vs peers

DIXON trades at 46.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

DIXON share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.7y of DIXON history (37%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DIXON 2027₹9,001₹15,338₹26,137+8%
DIXON 2028₹7,979₹16,568₹34,400+17%
DIXON 2029₹7,313₹17,896₹43,791+26%
DIXON 2030₹6,726₹19,330₹55,554+36%
DIXON 2031₹6,394₹20,880₹68,186+47%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DIXON goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
66%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
37%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹28,400 within 5 years

The bull case for DIXON

  • DIXON's return on equity of 37.4% ranks in the top 4% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • DIXON's return on capital employed of 42.0% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹43,791.

The bear case & risks

  • DIXON's P/E of 46.2x is lower than 29% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 18.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹7,313.

DIXON volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 8.7 years DIXON compounded at 37%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹9,001-₹26,137, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DIXON price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 8.7 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
8.0%
80% range₹9,001-₹26,137
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
26.0%
80% range₹7,313-₹43,791
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)26%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
47.0%
80% range₹6,394-₹68,186
P(price ↑)66%
P(price 2×)37%

DIXON price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DIXON simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DIXON hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DIXON price target & forecast page.

DIXON Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. DIXON scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

DIXON MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DIXON with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox30.35%3.3×
Zerodha28.80%3.5×
Groww28.92%3.5×
DhanCHEAPEST26.81%3.7×
Kotak Neo26.88%3.7×
Paytm Money27.16%3.7×
Pocketful34.26%2.9×
Anand Rathi33.81%3.0×
Bajaj Broking28.00%3.6×
Share India33.94%2.9×

Compare every broker on the DIXON MTF page.

About Dixon Technologies (India) Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Dixon Technologies (India) Limited (DIXON) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Electronics sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹86,822 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the DIXON Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Dixon Technologies (India) Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DIXON analysis, FAQs

Is Dixon Technologies (India) Limited (DIXON) a good buy?

On the numbers, Dixon Technologies (India) Limited (DIXON) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 46.2× earnings, ROE of 37.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DIXON overvalued or undervalued?

DIXON trades at 46.2× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the DIXON share price target for 2031?

DIXON's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹20,880, with an 80% range of ₹6,394-₹68,186 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DIXON doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DIXON reaching ₹28,400 (2×) within 5 years is 37%.

What is the bull case for DIXON?

DIXON's return on equity of 37.4% ranks in the top 4% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. DIXON's return on capital employed of 42.0% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in DIXON?

DIXON's P/E of 46.2x is lower than 29% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. A steep 18.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on DIXON