Case study

DLINKINDIA

D-Link India

Screens attractive1y model -4.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

D-Link India (DLINKINDIA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is DLINKINDIA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

D-Link India (DLINKINDIA) trades at ₹520,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100.

On the numbers, D-Link India (DLINKINDIA) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.7× earnings, ROE of 21.2%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DLINKINDIA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,846 Cr
Current price
₹520
P/E ratio
17.7×
P/B ratio
3.66×
Book value
₹142
Dividend yield
5.00%
ROCE
28.3%
ROE
21.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is DLINKINDIA overvalued? DLINKINDIA P/E vs its sector

DLINKINDIA's P/E of 17.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 5.00% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.

DLINKINDIA P/E
17.7×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
DLINKINDIA div yield
5.00%
Peer median yield
1.67%

DLINKINDIA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DLINKINDIA history (4%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DLINKINDIA 2027₹285₹502₹885-4%
DLINKINDIA 2028₹218₹479₹1,067-9%
DLINKINDIA 2029₹175₹464₹1,220-12%
DLINKINDIA 2030₹146₹445₹1,357-15%
DLINKINDIA 2031₹121₹423₹1,453-19%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DLINKINDIA goes up, or doubles?

46%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
41%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
18%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,050 within 5 years

The bull case for DLINKINDIA

  • A 17.7× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • High return on equity (21.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (28.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Pays a 5.0% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,220.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹175.

DLINKINDIA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years DLINKINDIA compounded at 4%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹285₹885, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DLINKINDIA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.4%
80% range₹285–₹885
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.6%
80% range₹175–₹1,220
P(price ↑)43%
P(price 2×)14%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
19.4%
80% range₹121–₹1,453
P(price ↑)41%
P(price 2×)18%

DLINKINDIA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DLINKINDIA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DLINKINDIA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DLINKINDIA price target & forecast page.

DLINKINDIA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DLINKINDIA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

DLINKINDIA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DLINKINDIA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.1%3.0×
Dhan40.0%2.5×

Compare every broker on the DLINKINDIA MTF page.

DLINKINDIA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
DLINKINDIA (this stock)17.7×5.00%₹1,846 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About D-Link India: sector, index & market-cap context

D-Link India (DLINKINDIA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,846 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the DLINKINDIA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of D-Link India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DLINKINDIA analysis, FAQs

Is D-Link India (DLINKINDIA) a good buy?

On the numbers, D-Link India (DLINKINDIA) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.7× earnings, ROE of 21.2%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DLINKINDIA overvalued or undervalued?

DLINKINDIA trades at 17.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the DLINKINDIA share price target for 2031?

DLINKINDIA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹423, with an 80% range of ₹121₹1,453 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DLINKINDIA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DLINKINDIA reaching ₹1,050 (2×) within 5 years is 18%.

What is the bull case for DLINKINDIA?

A 17.7× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (21.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (28.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in DLINKINDIA?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on DLINKINDIA