DODLA
Dodla Dairy
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Dodla Dairy (DODLA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is DODLA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Dodla Dairy (DODLA) trades at ₹1,136,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, Dodla Dairy (DODLA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 25.5× earnings, ROE of 17.5%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
DODLA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is DODLA overvalued? DODLA P/E vs its sector
DODLA's P/E of 25.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.44% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
DODLA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DODLA history (3%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DODLA 2027 | ₹694 | ₹1,084 | ₹1,708 | -2% |
| DODLA 2028 | ₹558 | ₹1,048 | ₹1,974 | -5% |
| DODLA 2029 | ₹471 | ₹1,028 | ₹2,230 | -7% |
| DODLA 2030 | ₹404 | ₹999 | ₹2,441 | -10% |
| DODLA 2031 | ₹348 | ₹967 | ₹2,603 | -13% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability DODLA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for DODLA
- A healthy 17.5% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (18.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,230.
The bear case & risks
- At 25.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹471.
DODLA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years DODLA compounded at 3%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹694–₹1,708, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
DODLA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
DODLA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds DODLA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the DODLA price target & forecast page.
DODLA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DODLA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
DODLA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DODLA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.1% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 31.1% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the DODLA MTF page.
DODLA vs peers,sector comparison
About Dodla Dairy: sector, index & market-cap context
Dodla Dairy (DODLA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,855 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the DODLA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Dodla Dairy's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
DODLA analysis, FAQs
Is Dodla Dairy (DODLA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Dodla Dairy (DODLA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 25.5× earnings, ROE of 17.5%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is DODLA overvalued or undervalued?
DODLA trades at 25.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the DODLA share price target for 2031?
DODLA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹967, with an 80% range of ₹348–₹2,603 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability DODLA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of DODLA reaching ₹2,218 (2×) within 5 years is 14%.
What is the bull case for DODLA?
A healthy 17.5% return on equity. Strong ROCE (18.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in DODLA?
At 25.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.