Case study

DODLA

DODLA DAIRY LIMITED

Mixed signals1y model +7.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

DODLA DAIRY LIMITED (DODLA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is DODLA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

DODLA DAIRY LIMITED (DODLA) trades at ₹1,042,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, DODLA DAIRY LIMITED (DODLA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 25.4× earnings, ROE of 16.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DODLA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹6,284 Cr
Current price
₹1,042
P/E ratio
25.4×
P/B ratio
3.75×
Book value
₹278
Dividend yield
0.48%
ROCE
16.7%
ROE
16.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How DODLA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is DODLA overvalued? DODLA P/E vs peers

DODLA trades at 25.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

DODLA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 5.0y of DODLA history (11%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DODLA 2027₹729₹1,119₹1,716+7%
DODLA 2028₹664₹1,201₹2,172+15%
DODLA 2029₹618₹1,290₹2,693+24%
DODLA 2030₹591₹1,386₹3,251+33%
DODLA 2031₹570₹1,488₹3,889+43%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DODLA goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
68%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
33%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,083 within 5 years

The bull case for DODLA

  • DODLA's return on equity of 16.4% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,693.

The bear case & risks

  • DODLA's P/E of 25.4x is lower than 53% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹618.

DODLA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 5.0 years DODLA compounded at 11%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹729-₹1,716, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DODLA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 5.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.4%
80% range₹729-₹1,716
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
23.9%
80% range₹618-₹2,693
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
42.9%
80% range₹570-₹3,889
P(price ↑)68%
P(price 2×)33%

DODLA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DODLA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DODLA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DODLA price target & forecast page.

DODLA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. DODLA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

DODLA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DODLA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.54%3.3×
Groww30.71%3.3×
Dhan30.54%3.3×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money31.83%3.1×
Pocketful30.88%3.2×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST30.54%3.3×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India30.68%3.3×

Compare every broker on the DODLA MTF page.

About DODLA DAIRY LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

DODLA DAIRY LIMITED (DODLA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,284 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the DODLA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of DODLA DAIRY LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DODLA analysis, FAQs

Is DODLA DAIRY LIMITED (DODLA) a good buy?

On the numbers, DODLA DAIRY LIMITED (DODLA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 25.4× earnings, ROE of 16.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DODLA overvalued or undervalued?

DODLA trades at 25.4× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the DODLA share price target for 2031?

DODLA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,488, with an 80% range of ₹570-₹3,889 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DODLA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DODLA reaching ₹2,083 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.

What is the bull case for DODLA?

DODLA's return on equity of 16.4% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in DODLA?

DODLA's P/E of 25.4x is lower than 53% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on DODLA