Case study

DOLLAR

Dollar Industries

Mixed signals1y model -37.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Dollar Industries (DOLLAR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is DOLLAR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Dollar Industries (DOLLAR) trades at ₹260,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.

On the numbers, Dollar Industries (DOLLAR) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.8× earnings, ROE of 11.9%, a 11% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DOLLAR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,478 Cr
Current price
₹260
P/E ratio
13.8×
P/B ratio
1.56×
Book value
₹167
Dividend yield
1.15%
ROCE
13.6%
ROE
11.9%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is DOLLAR overvalued? DOLLAR P/E vs its sector

DOLLAR's P/E of 13.8× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 1.15% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

DOLLAR P/E
13.8×
Peer median P/E
14.7×
DOLLAR div yield
1.15%
Peer median yield
1.65%

DOLLAR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DOLLAR history (-40%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DOLLAR 2027₹100₹162₹263-37%
DOLLAR 2028₹51₹101₹201-61%
DOLLAR 2029₹28₹63₹146-76%
DOLLAR 2030₹15₹39₹104-85%
DOLLAR 2031₹8₹24₹73-91%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DOLLAR goes up, or doubles?

11%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
0%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹518 within 5 years

The bull case for DOLLAR

  • Trades at just 13.8× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹146.

The bear case & risks

  • Return on equity is a soft 11.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 11% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹28.

DOLLAR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years DOLLAR compounded at -40%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹100₹263, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DOLLAR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
37.3%
80% range₹100–₹263
P(price ↑)11%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
75.8%
80% range₹28–₹146
P(price ↑)1%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
90.6%
80% range₹8–₹73
P(price ↑)0%
P(price 2×)0%

DOLLAR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DOLLAR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DOLLAR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DOLLAR price target & forecast page.

DOLLAR Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DOLLAR scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

DOLLAR MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DOLLAR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.0%2.9×
Dhan40.0%2.5×

Compare every broker on the DOLLAR MTF page.

DOLLAR vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
DOLLAR (this stock)13.8×1.15%₹1,478 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Dollar Industries: sector, index & market-cap context

Dollar Industries (DOLLAR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,478 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the DOLLAR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Dollar Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DOLLAR analysis, FAQs

Is Dollar Industries (DOLLAR) a good buy?

On the numbers, Dollar Industries (DOLLAR) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.8× earnings, ROE of 11.9%, a 11% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DOLLAR overvalued or undervalued?

DOLLAR trades at 13.8× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.

What is the DOLLAR share price target for 2031?

DOLLAR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹24, with an 80% range of ₹8₹73 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DOLLAR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DOLLAR reaching ₹518 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for DOLLAR?

Trades at just 13.8× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.

What are the risks in DOLLAR?

Return on equity is a soft 11.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 11% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on DOLLAR