Case study

DURLAX

Durlax Top Surface Ltd

Worth a closer look1y model -2.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

60Score

Durlax Top Surface Ltd (DURLAX) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about DURLAX, and the method behind each one.

Durlax Top Surface Ltd (DURLAX) trades at ₹60,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100.

On the numbers, Durlax Top Surface Ltd (DURLAX) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.7× earnings, ROE of 14.5%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DURLAX fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹174 Cr
Current price
₹60
P/E ratio
13.7×
P/B ratio
1.49×
Book value
₹40
ROCE
17.0%
ROE
14.5%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How DURLAX ranks against the 2,982 companies in our screener

Is DURLAX overvalued? DURLAX P/E vs peers

DURLAX trades at 13.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

DURLAX share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.1y of DURLAX history (-20%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DURLAX 2027₹35₹66₹128-2%
DURLAX 2028₹26₹65₹161-4%
DURLAX 2029₹21₹63₹193-7%
DURLAX 2030₹18₹62₹217-9%
DURLAX 2031₹15₹61₹250-11%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DURLAX goes up, or doubles?

48%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
46%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹136 within 5 years

The bull case for DURLAX

  • DURLAX's P/E of 13.7x is lower than 73% of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.49×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • DURLAX's return on equity of 14.5% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹193.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹21.

DURLAX volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.1 years DURLAX compounded at -20%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹35-₹128, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DURLAX price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.1 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.2%
80% range₹35-₹128
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.6%
80% range₹21-₹193
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
10.7%
80% range₹15-₹250
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)23%

DURLAX price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DURLAX simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DURLAX hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DURLAX price target & forecast page.

DURLAX Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. DURLAX scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

About Durlax Top Surface Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Durlax Top Surface Ltd (DURLAX) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹174 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the DURLAX Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Durlax Top Surface Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DURLAX analysis, FAQs

Is Durlax Top Surface Ltd (DURLAX) a good buy?

On the numbers, Durlax Top Surface Ltd (DURLAX) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.7× earnings, ROE of 14.5%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DURLAX overvalued or undervalued?

DURLAX trades at 13.7× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the DURLAX share price target for 2031?

DURLAX's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹61, with an 80% range of ₹15-₹250 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DURLAX doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DURLAX reaching ₹136 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for DURLAX?

DURLAX's P/E of 13.7x is lower than 73% of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.49×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. DURLAX's return on equity of 14.5% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in DURLAX?

High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on DURLAX

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.