DVL
DVL
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
DVL (DVL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is DVL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
DVL (DVL) trades at ₹244,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.
On the numbers, DVL (DVL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.2× earnings, ROE of 2.8%, a 23% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
DVL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is DVL overvalued? DVL P/E vs its sector
DVL's P/E of 9.2× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 2.05% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
DVL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DVL history (-23%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DVL 2027 | ₹97 | ₹173 | ₹313 | -28% |
| DVL 2028 | ₹54 | ₹123 | ₹282 | -49% |
| DVL 2029 | ₹33 | ₹88 | ₹245 | -63% |
| DVL 2030 | ₹20 | ₹63 | ₹203 | -74% |
| DVL 2031 | ₹13 | ₹45 | ₹166 | -81% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability DVL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for DVL
- Trades at just 9.2× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Low price-to-book of 0.26×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Pays a 2.0% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹245.
The bear case & risks
- Return on equity is a soft 2.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 23% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹33.
DVL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years DVL compounded at -23%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹97–₹313, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
DVL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
DVL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds DVL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the DVL price target & forecast page.
DVL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DVL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
DVL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DVL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| DhanCHEAPEST | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the DVL MTF page.
DVL vs peers,sector comparison
About DVL: sector, index & market-cap context
DVL (DVL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹842 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the DVL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of DVL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
DVL analysis, FAQs
Is DVL (DVL) a good buy?
On the numbers, DVL (DVL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.2× earnings, ROE of 2.8%, a 23% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is DVL overvalued or undervalued?
DVL trades at 9.2× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the DVL share price target for 2031?
DVL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹45, with an 80% range of ₹13–₹166 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability DVL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of DVL reaching ₹483 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for DVL?
Trades at just 9.2× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 0.26×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. Pays a 2.0% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
What are the risks in DVL?
Return on equity is a soft 2.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 23% chance of finishing above today's price.