Case study

EDELWEISS

Edelweiss Financial Services Limited

Mixed signals1y model -2.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

52Score

Edelweiss Financial Services Limited (EDELWEISS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is EDELWEISS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Edelweiss Financial Services Limited (EDELWEISS) trades at ₹119,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, Edelweiss Financial Services Limited (EDELWEISS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.8× earnings, ROE of 13.5%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

EDELWEISS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹11,220 Cr
Current price
₹119
P/E ratio
17.8×
P/B ratio
2.44×
Book value
₹49
Dividend yield
1.27%
ROCE
14.1%
ROE
13.5%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How EDELWEISS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is EDELWEISS overvalued? EDELWEISS P/E vs peers

EDELWEISS trades at 17.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

EDELWEISS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of EDELWEISS history (7%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
EDELWEISS 2027₹62₹116₹215-2%
EDELWEISS 2028₹47₹113₹272-5%
EDELWEISS 2029₹37₹110₹327-7%
EDELWEISS 2030₹31₹108₹373-9%
EDELWEISS 2031₹26₹105₹423-11%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability EDELWEISS goes up, or doubles?

48%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
46%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹237 within 5 years

The bull case for EDELWEISS

  • EDELWEISS's P/E of 17.8x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • EDELWEISS's return on equity of 13.5% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹327.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹37.

EDELWEISS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years EDELWEISS compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹62-₹215, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

EDELWEISS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.3%
80% range₹62-₹215
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.8%
80% range₹37-₹327
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
11.1%
80% range₹26-₹423
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)23%

EDELWEISS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
EDELWEISS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds EDELWEISS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the EDELWEISS price target & forecast page.

EDELWEISS Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. EDELWEISS scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

EDELWEISS MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy EDELWEISS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.23%2.8×
Zerodha35.22%2.8×
Groww35.36%2.8×
Dhan35.22%2.8×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST35.21%2.8×
Paytm Money35.54%2.8×
Pocketful35.76%2.8×
Fyers35.71%2.8×
Anand Rathi35.22%2.8×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India35.32%2.8×

Compare every broker on the EDELWEISS MTF page.

About Edelweiss Financial Services Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Edelweiss Financial Services Limited (EDELWEISS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹11,220 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the EDELWEISS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Edelweiss Financial Services Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

EDELWEISS analysis, FAQs

Is Edelweiss Financial Services Limited (EDELWEISS) a good buy?

On the numbers, Edelweiss Financial Services Limited (EDELWEISS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.8× earnings, ROE of 13.5%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is EDELWEISS overvalued or undervalued?

EDELWEISS trades at 17.8× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the EDELWEISS share price target for 2031?

EDELWEISS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹105, with an 80% range of ₹26-₹423 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability EDELWEISS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of EDELWEISS reaching ₹237 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for EDELWEISS?

EDELWEISS's P/E of 17.8x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. EDELWEISS's return on equity of 13.5% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in EDELWEISS?

High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on EDELWEISS