EGOLD
Edelweiss Gold ETF units Exchange Traded Fund
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Edelweiss Gold ETF units Exchange Traded Fund (EGOLD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is EGOLD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, Edelweiss Gold ETF units Exchange Traded Fund (EGOLD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
How EGOLD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
EGOLD is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.
EGOLD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.7y of EGOLD history (33%/yr drift, 24%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EGOLD 2027 | ₹123 | ₹167 | ₹227 | +12% |
| EGOLD 2028 | ₹122 | ₹187 | ₹287 | +25% |
| EGOLD 2029 | ₹124 | ₹209 | ₹352 | +40% |
| EGOLD 2030 | ₹129 | ₹234 | ₹425 | +57% |
| EGOLD 2031 | ₹135 | ₹262 | ₹509 | +76% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability EGOLD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for EGOLD
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 68% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹167 (+12%).
- Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹352.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹124.
EGOLD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.7 years EGOLD compounded at 33%/year with annualized volatility of 24%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹123-₹227, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
EGOLD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
EGOLD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds EGOLD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the EGOLD price target & forecast page.
EGOLD MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy EGOLD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 28.33% | 3.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 28.47% | 3.5× |
| Pocketful | 28.63% | 3.5× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 28.33% | 3.5× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 28.33% | 3.5× |
Compare every broker on the EGOLD MTF page.
About Edelweiss Gold ETF units Exchange Traded Fund: sector, index & market-cap context
Edelweiss Gold ETF units Exchange Traded Fund (EGOLD) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.
How the EGOLD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Edelweiss Gold ETF units Exchange Traded Fund's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
EGOLD analysis, FAQs
Is Edelweiss Gold ETF units Exchange Traded Fund (EGOLD) a good buy?
On the numbers, Edelweiss Gold ETF units Exchange Traded Fund (EGOLD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is EGOLD overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for EGOLD are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the EGOLD share price target for 2031?
EGOLD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹262, with an 80% range of ₹135-₹509 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability EGOLD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of EGOLD reaching ₹298 (2×) within 5 years is 40%.
What is the bull case for EGOLD?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 68% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹167 (+12%). Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in EGOLD?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.