ELECTCAST
Electrosteel Castings Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Electrosteel Castings Limited (ELECTCAST) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ELECTCAST a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Electrosteel Castings Limited (ELECTCAST) trades at ₹72,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100.
On the numbers, Electrosteel Castings Limited (ELECTCAST) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 28.0× earnings, ROE of 3.0%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ELECTCAST fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ELECTCAST ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ELECTCAST's market cap of 4,450 Cr ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ELECTCAST's book value of ₹96 ranks in the 51st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ELECTCAST's promoter holding of 50.1% ranks in the 30th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ELECTCAST's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -18.0% ranks in the 13th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ELECTCAST's 3-year revenue growth of -7.0% ranks in the 13th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ELECTCAST's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is ELECTCAST overvalued? ELECTCAST P/E vs peers
ELECTCAST trades at 28.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ELECTCAST share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ELECTCAST history (12%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELECTCAST 2027 | ₹39 | ₹72 | ₹136 | +1% |
| ELECTCAST 2028 | ₹30 | ₹73 | ₹176 | +1% |
| ELECTCAST 2029 | ₹25 | ₹73 | ₹213 | +2% |
| ELECTCAST 2030 | ₹22 | ₹73 | ₹250 | +2% |
| ELECTCAST 2031 | ₹19 | ₹74 | ₹293 | +3% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ELECTCAST goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ELECTCAST
- Low price-to-book of 0.75×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹213.
The bear case & risks
- ELECTCAST's P/E of 28.0x is lower than 49% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ELECTCAST's return on equity of 3.0% ranks in the 23rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹25.
ELECTCAST volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years ELECTCAST compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹39-₹136, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ELECTCAST price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ELECTCAST price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ELECTCAST hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ELECTCAST price target & forecast page.
ELECTCAST Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ELECTCAST scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
ELECTCAST MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ELECTCAST with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 37.55% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.50% | 2.7× |
| Groww | 37.75% | 2.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.50% | 2.7× |
| Kotak Neo | 37.59% | 2.7× |
| Paytm Money | 37.90% | 2.6× |
| Pocketful | 38.31% | 2.6× |
| Fyers | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 37.50% | 2.7× |
| Bajaj Broking | 45.00% | 2.2× |
| Share India | 37.71% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the ELECTCAST MTF page.
About Electrosteel Castings Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Electrosteel Castings Limited (ELECTCAST) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,450 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ELECTCAST Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Electrosteel Castings Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ELECTCAST analysis, FAQs
Is Electrosteel Castings Limited (ELECTCAST) a good buy?
On the numbers, Electrosteel Castings Limited (ELECTCAST) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 28.0× earnings, ROE of 3.0%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ELECTCAST overvalued or undervalued?
ELECTCAST trades at 28.0× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ELECTCAST share price target for 2031?
ELECTCAST's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹74, with an 80% range of ₹19-₹293 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ELECTCAST doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ELECTCAST reaching ₹144 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for ELECTCAST?
Low price-to-book of 0.75×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in ELECTCAST?
ELECTCAST's P/E of 28.0x is lower than 49% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ELECTCAST's return on equity of 3.0% ranks in the 23rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.