Case study

ELECTHERM

Electrotherm (India) Limited

Tread carefully1y model -4.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

40Score

Electrotherm (India) Limited (ELECTHERM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ELECTHERM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Electrotherm (India) Limited (ELECTHERM) trades at ₹995,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 40/100.

On the numbers, Electrotherm (India) Limited (ELECTHERM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 40/100, weighing ROE of 10.0%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ELECTHERM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,268 Cr
Current price
₹995
Book value
₹-121
ROCE
0.5%
ROE
10.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How ELECTHERM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for ELECTHERM, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

ELECTHERM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ELECTHERM history (24%/yr drift, 56%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ELECTHERM 2027₹463₹950₹1,952-5%
ELECTHERM 2028₹331₹907₹2,482-9%
ELECTHERM 2029₹249₹866₹3,010-13%
ELECTHERM 2030₹203₹827₹3,365-17%
ELECTHERM 2031₹161₹789₹3,878-21%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ELECTHERM goes up, or doubles?

47%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
43%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,991 within 5 years

The bull case for ELECTHERM

  • Electrotherm (India) Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,010.

The bear case & risks

  • ELECTHERM's return on equity of 10.0% ranks in the 49th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹249.

ELECTHERM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ELECTHERM compounded at 24%/year with annualized volatility of 56%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹463-₹1,952, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ELECTHERM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.5%
80% range₹463-₹1,952
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
13.0%
80% range₹249-₹3,010
P(price ↑)44%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
20.7%
80% range₹161-₹3,878
P(price ↑)43%
P(price 2×)23%

ELECTHERM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ELECTHERM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ELECTHERM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ELECTHERM price target & forecast page.

ELECTHERM Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ELECTHERM scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

ELECTHERM MTF margin & leverage across 6 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ELECTHERM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 6 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww43.44%2.3×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST43.37%2.3×

Compare every broker on the ELECTHERM MTF page.

About Electrotherm (India) Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Electrotherm (India) Limited (ELECTHERM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,268 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ELECTHERM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Electrotherm (India) Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ELECTHERM analysis, FAQs

Is Electrotherm (India) Limited (ELECTHERM) a good buy?

On the numbers, Electrotherm (India) Limited (ELECTHERM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 40/100, weighing ROE of 10.0%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ELECTHERM overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for ELECTHERM are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the ELECTHERM share price target for 2031?

ELECTHERM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹789, with an 80% range of ₹161-₹3,878 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ELECTHERM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ELECTHERM reaching ₹1,991 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for ELECTHERM?

Electrotherm (India) Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in ELECTHERM?

ELECTHERM's return on equity of 10.0% ranks in the 49th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on ELECTHERM