ELIN
ELIN
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ELIN (ELIN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ELIN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
ELIN (ELIN) trades at ₹108,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100.
On the numbers, ELIN (ELIN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.0× earnings, ROE of 4.3%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ELIN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is ELIN overvalued? ELIN P/E vs its sector
ELIN's P/E of 23.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
ELIN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of ELIN history (-35%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELIN 2027 | ₹36 | ₹67 | ₹124 | -37% |
| ELIN 2028 | ₹17 | ₹41 | ₹99 | -61% |
| ELIN 2029 | ₹9 | ₹26 | ₹75 | -76% |
| ELIN 2030 | ₹5 | ₹16 | ₹55 | -85% |
| ELIN 2031 | ₹3 | ₹10 | ₹41 | -90% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ELIN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ELIN
- A 23.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- Low price-to-book of 0.96×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹75.
The bear case & risks
- Return on equity is a soft 4.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹9.
ELIN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years ELIN compounded at -35%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹36–₹124, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ELIN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ELIN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ELIN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ELIN price target & forecast page.
ELIN Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. ELIN scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
ELIN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ELIN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 50.0% | 2.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the ELIN MTF page.
ELIN vs peers,sector comparison
About ELIN: sector, index & market-cap context
ELIN (ELIN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹536 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the ELIN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ELIN's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ELIN analysis, FAQs
Is ELIN (ELIN) a good buy?
On the numbers, ELIN (ELIN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.0× earnings, ROE of 4.3%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ELIN overvalued or undervalued?
ELIN trades at 23.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the ELIN share price target for 2031?
ELIN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹10, with an 80% range of ₹3–₹41 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ELIN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ELIN reaching ₹213 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for ELIN?
A 23.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. Low price-to-book of 0.96×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in ELIN?
Return on equity is a soft 4.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.