ELLEN
ELLENBARRIE INDUS GASES L
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ELLENBARRIE INDUS GASES L (ELLEN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ELLEN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, ELLENBARRIE INDUS GASES L (ELLEN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 5% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ELLEN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.0y of ELLEN history (-67%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELLEN 2027 | ₹69 | ₹128 | ₹238 | -54% |
| ELLEN 2028 | ₹24 | ₹57 | ₹140 | -80% |
| ELLEN 2029 | ₹9 | ₹26 | ₹78 | -91% |
| ELLEN 2030 | ₹3 | ₹12 | ₹41 | -96% |
| ELLEN 2031 | ₹1 | ₹5 | ₹21 | -98% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ELLEN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ELLEN
- ELLENBARRIE INDUS GASES L is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹78.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 5% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹9.
ELLEN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.0 years ELLEN compounded at -67%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹69–₹238, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ELLEN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ELLEN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ELLEN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ELLEN price target & forecast page.
ELLEN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ELLEN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 35.1% | 2.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 35.1% | 2.8× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the ELLEN MTF page.
ELLEN vs peers,sector comparison
About ELLENBARRIE INDUS GASES L: sector, index & market-cap context
ELLENBARRIE INDUS GASES L (ELLEN) is an NSE-listed company.
How the ELLEN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ELLENBARRIE INDUS GASES L's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ELLEN analysis, FAQs
Is ELLENBARRIE INDUS GASES L (ELLEN) a good buy?
On the numbers, ELLENBARRIE INDUS GASES L (ELLEN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 5% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ELLEN overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for ELLEN are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the ELLEN share price target for 2031?
ELLEN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5, with an 80% range of ₹1–₹21 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ELLEN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ELLEN reaching ₹563 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for ELLEN?
ELLENBARRIE INDUS GASES L is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in ELLEN?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 5% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.