ELLEN
Ellenbarrie Industrial Gases Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Ellenbarrie Industrial Gases Limited (ELLEN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ELLEN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Ellenbarrie Industrial Gases Limited (ELLEN) trades at ₹292,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100.
On the numbers, Ellenbarrie Industrial Gases Limited (ELLEN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 34.2× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ELLEN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ELLEN ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ELLEN's market cap of 4,120 Cr ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ELLEN's book value of ₹69 ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ELLEN's promoter holding of 77.2% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ELLEN's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 69.0% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ELLEN's 3-year revenue growth of 19.0% ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ELLEN's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19x is lower than 64% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is ELLEN overvalued? ELLEN P/E vs peers
ELLEN trades at 34.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ELLEN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.1y of ELLEN history (-55%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELLEN 2027 | ₹155 | ₹288 | ₹535 | -1% |
| ELLEN 2028 | ₹119 | ₹284 | ₹676 | -3% |
| ELLEN 2029 | ₹96 | ₹280 | ₹819 | -4% |
| ELLEN 2030 | ₹80 | ₹276 | ₹948 | -6% |
| ELLEN 2031 | ₹68 | ₹272 | ₹1,088 | -7% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ELLEN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ELLEN
- ELLEN's return on equity of 14.2% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹819.
The bear case & risks
- ELLEN's P/E of 34.2x is lower than 40% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹96.
ELLEN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.1 years ELLEN compounded at -55%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹155-₹535, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ELLEN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ELLEN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ELLEN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ELLEN price target & forecast page.
ELLEN Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ELLEN scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
ELLEN MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ELLEN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 35.34% | 2.8× |
| Zerodha | 35.39% | 2.8× |
| Groww | 35.44% | 2.8× |
| Dhan | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 36.34% | 2.8× |
| Pocketful | 35.47% | 2.8× |
| Anand Rathi | 35.39% | 2.8× |
| Share India | 35.42% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the ELLEN MTF page.
About Ellenbarrie Industrial Gases Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Ellenbarrie Industrial Gases Limited (ELLEN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,120 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ELLEN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ellenbarrie Industrial Gases Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ELLEN analysis, FAQs
Is Ellenbarrie Industrial Gases Limited (ELLEN) a good buy?
On the numbers, Ellenbarrie Industrial Gases Limited (ELLEN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 34.2× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ELLEN overvalued or undervalued?
ELLEN trades at 34.2× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ELLEN share price target for 2031?
ELLEN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹272, with an 80% range of ₹68-₹1,088 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ELLEN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ELLEN reaching ₹585 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for ELLEN?
ELLEN's return on equity of 14.2% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in ELLEN?
ELLEN's P/E of 34.2x is lower than 40% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.