EMBDL
Indiabulls Real Estate
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Indiabulls Real Estate (EMBDL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is EMBDL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Indiabulls Real Estate (EMBDL) trades at ₹62,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100.
On the numbers, Indiabulls Real Estate (EMBDL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 71.0× earnings, ROE of -9.1%, a 13% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
EMBDL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is EMBDL overvalued? EMBDL P/E vs its sector
EMBDL's P/E of 71.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
EMBDL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of EMBDL history (-48%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMBDL 2027 | ₹17 | ₹34 | ₹67 | -46% |
| EMBDL 2028 | ₹7 | ₹18 | ₹47 | -71% |
| EMBDL 2029 | ₹3 | ₹10 | ₹31 | -85% |
| EMBDL 2030 | ₹1 | ₹5 | ₹20 | -92% |
| EMBDL 2031 | ₹1 | ₹3 | ₹13 | -95% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability EMBDL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for EMBDL
- Low price-to-book of 0.87×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹31.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 71.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 13% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3.
EMBDL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years EMBDL compounded at -48%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹17–₹67, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
EMBDL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
EMBDL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds EMBDL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the EMBDL price target & forecast page.
EMBDL Piotroski F-Score: 1/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. EMBDL scores 1/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
EMBDL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy EMBDL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 41.5% | 2.4× |
| Zerodha | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the EMBDL MTF page.
EMBDL vs peers,sector comparison
About Indiabulls Real Estate: sector, index & market-cap context
Indiabulls Real Estate (EMBDL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹8,615 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the EMBDL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Indiabulls Real Estate's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
EMBDL analysis, FAQs
Is Indiabulls Real Estate (EMBDL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Indiabulls Real Estate (EMBDL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 71.0× earnings, ROE of -9.1%, a 13% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is EMBDL overvalued or undervalued?
EMBDL trades at 71.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the EMBDL share price target for 2031?
EMBDL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3, with an 80% range of ₹1–₹13 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability EMBDL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of EMBDL reaching ₹124 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for EMBDL?
Low price-to-book of 0.87×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in EMBDL?
A rich 71.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 13% chance of finishing above today's price.