EMIL
Electronics Mart Ind
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Electronics Mart Ind (EMIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is EMIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Electronics Mart Ind (EMIL) trades at ₹122,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100.
On the numbers, Electronics Mart Ind (EMIL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 45.6× earnings, ROE of 6.5%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
EMIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is EMIL overvalued? EMIL P/E vs its sector
EMIL's P/E of 45.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
EMIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of EMIL history (-32%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMIL 2027 | ₹45 | ₹80 | ₹142 | -34% |
| EMIL 2028 | ₹23 | ₹53 | ₹118 | -56% |
| EMIL 2029 | ₹13 | ₹35 | ₹92 | -71% |
| EMIL 2030 | ₹7 | ₹23 | ₹70 | -81% |
| EMIL 2031 | ₹4 | ₹15 | ₹54 | -88% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability EMIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for EMIL
- Electronics Mart Ind is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹92.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 45.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 6.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹13.
EMIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years EMIL compounded at -32%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹45–₹142, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
EMIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
EMIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds EMIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the EMIL price target & forecast page.
EMIL Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. EMIL scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
EMIL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy EMIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 36.1% | 2.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.1% | 2.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 36.1% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the EMIL MTF page.
EMIL vs peers,sector comparison
About Electronics Mart Ind: sector, index & market-cap context
Electronics Mart Ind (EMIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,677 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the EMIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Electronics Mart Ind's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
EMIL analysis, FAQs
Is Electronics Mart Ind (EMIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Electronics Mart Ind (EMIL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 45.6× earnings, ROE of 6.5%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is EMIL overvalued or undervalued?
EMIL trades at 45.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the EMIL share price target for 2031?
EMIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹15, with an 80% range of ₹4–₹54 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability EMIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of EMIL reaching ₹242 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for EMIL?
Electronics Mart Ind is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in EMIL?
A rich 45.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 6.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.