Case study

EMUDHRA

Emudhra

Tread carefully1y model -31.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Emudhra (EMUDHRA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is EMUDHRA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Emudhra (EMUDHRA) trades at ₹454,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.

On the numbers, Emudhra (EMUDHRA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing premium at 35.9× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 14% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

EMUDHRA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,756 Cr
Current price
₹454
P/E ratio
35.9×
P/B ratio
4.13×
Book value
₹110
Dividend yield
0.28%
ROCE
15.7%
ROE
12.6%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is EMUDHRA overvalued? EMUDHRA P/E vs its sector

EMUDHRA's P/E of 35.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.28% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

EMUDHRA P/E
35.9×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
EMUDHRA div yield
0.28%
Peer median yield
1.65%

EMUDHRA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of EMUDHRA history (-32%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
EMUDHRA 2027₹197₹315₹501-31%
EMUDHRA 2028₹111₹212₹415-54%
EMUDHRA 2029₹65₹145₹325-69%
EMUDHRA 2030₹39₹99₹252-79%
EMUDHRA 2031₹24₹67₹193-85%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability EMUDHRA goes up, or doubles?

14%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
1%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹920 within 5 years

The bull case for EMUDHRA

  • A healthy 12.6% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹325.

The bear case & risks

  • At 35.9× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 14% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹65.

EMUDHRA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years EMUDHRA compounded at -32%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹197₹501, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

EMUDHRA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
31.5%
80% range₹197–₹501
P(price ↑)14%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
68.6%
80% range₹65–₹325
P(price ↑)3%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
85.4%
80% range₹24–₹193
P(price ↑)1%
P(price 2×)0%

EMUDHRA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
EMUDHRA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds EMUDHRA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the EMUDHRA price target & forecast page.

EMUDHRA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. EMUDHRA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

EMUDHRA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy EMUDHRA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.6%3.1×
DhanCHEAPEST32.6%3.1×

Compare every broker on the EMUDHRA MTF page.

EMUDHRA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
EMUDHRA (this stock)35.9×0.28%₹3,756 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Emudhra: sector, index & market-cap context

Emudhra (EMUDHRA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,756 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the EMUDHRA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Emudhra's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

EMUDHRA analysis, FAQs

Is Emudhra (EMUDHRA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Emudhra (EMUDHRA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing premium at 35.9× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 14% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is EMUDHRA overvalued or undervalued?

EMUDHRA trades at 35.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the EMUDHRA share price target for 2031?

EMUDHRA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹67, with an 80% range of ₹24₹193 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability EMUDHRA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of EMUDHRA reaching ₹920 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for EMUDHRA?

A healthy 12.6% return on equity.

What are the risks in EMUDHRA?

At 35.9× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 14% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on EMUDHRA