EPACKPEB
EPACK PREFAB TECHN LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
EPACK PREFAB TECHN LTD (EPACKPEB) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is EPACKPEB a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
EPACK PREFAB TECHN LTD (EPACKPEB) trades at ₹267,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.
On the numbers, EPACK PREFAB TECHN LTD (EPACKPEB) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 29.0× earnings, ROE of 17.0%, a 69% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
EPACKPEB fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is EPACKPEB overvalued? EPACKPEB P/E vs its sector
EPACKPEB's P/E of 29.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
EPACKPEB share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.7y of EPACKPEB history (53%/yr drift, 65%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPACKPEB 2027 | ₹163 | ₹367 | ₹867 | +36% |
| EPACKPEB 2028 | ₹157 | ₹512 | ₹1,673 | +90% |
| EPACKPEB 2029 | ₹162 | ₹696 | ₹3,006 | +159% |
| EPACKPEB 2030 | ₹183 | ₹982 | ₹5,081 | +265% |
| EPACKPEB 2031 | ₹207 | ₹1,328 | ₹8,757 | +394% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability EPACKPEB goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for EPACKPEB
- A healthy 17.0% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (21.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 69% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹367 (+36%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,006.
The bear case & risks
- At 29.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- High historical volatility (65%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹162.
EPACKPEB volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 0.7 years EPACKPEB compounded at 53%/year with annualized volatility of 65%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹163–₹867, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
EPACKPEB price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
EPACKPEB price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds EPACKPEB hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the EPACKPEB price target & forecast page.
EPACKPEB Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. EPACKPEB scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
EPACKPEB MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy EPACKPEB with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 38.1% | 2.6× |
| Zerodha | 50.0% | 2.0× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the EPACKPEB MTF page.
EPACKPEB vs peers,sector comparison
About EPACK PREFAB TECHN LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
EPACK PREFAB TECHN LTD (EPACKPEB) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,685 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the EPACKPEB Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of EPACK PREFAB TECHN LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
EPACKPEB analysis, FAQs
Is EPACK PREFAB TECHN LTD (EPACKPEB) a good buy?
On the numbers, EPACK PREFAB TECHN LTD (EPACKPEB) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 29.0× earnings, ROE of 17.0%, a 69% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is EPACKPEB overvalued or undervalued?
EPACKPEB trades at 29.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the EPACKPEB share price target for 2031?
EPACKPEB's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,328, with an 80% range of ₹207–₹8,757 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability EPACKPEB doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of EPACKPEB reaching ₹538 (2×) within 5 years is 74%.
What is the bull case for EPACKPEB?
A healthy 17.0% return on equity. Strong ROCE (21.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 69% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹367 (+36%).
What are the risks in EPACKPEB?
At 29.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. High historical volatility (65%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.