Case study

EQUAL200

Mirae Asset BSE 200 Equal Weight ETF a scheme under Mirae Asset Mutual Fund

Worth a closer look1y model +11.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

Mirae Asset BSE 200 Equal Weight ETF a scheme under Mirae Asset Mutual Fund (EQUAL200) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is EQUAL200 a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, Mirae Asset BSE 200 Equal Weight ETF a scheme under Mirae Asset Mutual Fund (EQUAL200) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 75% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

How EQUAL200 ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

EQUAL200 is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.

EQUAL200 share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.4y of EQUAL200 history (16%/yr drift, 16%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
EQUAL200 2027₹13₹16₹19+11%
EQUAL200 2028₹13₹17₹23+23%
EQUAL200 2029₹14₹19₹27+37%
EQUAL200 2030₹14₹21₹32+52%
EQUAL200 2031₹15₹24₹37+68%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability EQUAL200 goes up, or doubles?

75%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
94%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
31%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹28 within 5 years

The bull case for EQUAL200

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 75% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹16 (+11%).
  • Relatively low volatility (16%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹27.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹14.

EQUAL200 volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.4 years EQUAL200 compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 16%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹13-₹19, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

EQUAL200 price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.4 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
11.0%
80% range₹13-₹19
P(price ↑)75%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
36.7%
80% range₹14-₹27
P(price ↑)87%
P(price 2×)8%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
68.5%
80% range₹15-₹37
P(price ↑)94%
P(price 2×)31%

EQUAL200 price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
EQUAL200 simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds EQUAL200 hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the EQUAL200 price target & forecast page.

EQUAL200 MTF margin & leverage across 4 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy EQUAL200 with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 4 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox20.00%5.0×
Groww20.00%5.0×
Dhan20.00%5.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST16.00%6.3×

Compare every broker on the EQUAL200 MTF page.

About Mirae Asset BSE 200 Equal Weight ETF a scheme under Mirae Asset Mutual Fund: sector, index & market-cap context

Mirae Asset BSE 200 Equal Weight ETF a scheme under Mirae Asset Mutual Fund (EQUAL200) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.

How the EQUAL200 Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mirae Asset BSE 200 Equal Weight ETF a scheme under Mirae Asset Mutual Fund's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

EQUAL200 analysis, FAQs

Is Mirae Asset BSE 200 Equal Weight ETF a scheme under Mirae Asset Mutual Fund (EQUAL200) a good buy?

On the numbers, Mirae Asset BSE 200 Equal Weight ETF a scheme under Mirae Asset Mutual Fund (EQUAL200) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 75% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is EQUAL200 overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for EQUAL200 are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the EQUAL200 share price target for 2031?

EQUAL200's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹24, with an 80% range of ₹15-₹37 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability EQUAL200 doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of EQUAL200 reaching ₹28 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.

What is the bull case for EQUAL200?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 75% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹16 (+11%). Relatively low volatility (16%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.

What are the risks in EQUAL200?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on EQUAL200