ETHOSLTD
Ethos
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Ethos (ETHOSLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ETHOSLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Ethos (ETHOSLTD) trades at ₹2,452,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100.
On the numbers, Ethos (ETHOSLTD) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 68.2× earnings, ROE of 7.8%, a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ETHOSLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is ETHOSLTD overvalued? ETHOSLTD P/E vs its sector
ETHOSLTD's P/E of 68.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
ETHOSLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of ETHOSLTD history (-8%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETHOSLTD 2027 | ₹1,264 | ₹2,037 | ₹3,310 | -14% |
| ETHOSLTD 2028 | ₹891 | ₹1,762 | ₹3,483 | -26% |
| ETHOSLTD 2029 | ₹662 | ₹1,526 | ₹3,463 | -36% |
| ETHOSLTD 2030 | ₹497 | ₹1,298 | ₹3,426 | -45% |
| ETHOSLTD 2031 | ₹374 | ₹1,116 | ₹3,295 | -53% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ETHOSLTD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ETHOSLTD
- Ethos is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,463.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 68.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 7.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 34% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹662.
ETHOSLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years ETHOSLTD compounded at -8%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,264–₹3,310, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ETHOSLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ETHOSLTD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ETHOSLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ETHOSLTD price target & forecast page.
ETHOSLTD Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. ETHOSLTD scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
ETHOSLTD MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ETHOSLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.1% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.1% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the ETHOSLTD MTF page.
ETHOSLTD vs peers,sector comparison
About Ethos: sector, index & market-cap context
Ethos (ETHOSLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,545 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the ETHOSLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ethos's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ETHOSLTD analysis, FAQs
Is Ethos (ETHOSLTD) a good buy?
On the numbers, Ethos (ETHOSLTD) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 68.2× earnings, ROE of 7.8%, a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ETHOSLTD overvalued or undervalued?
ETHOSLTD trades at 68.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the ETHOSLTD share price target for 2031?
ETHOSLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,116, with an 80% range of ₹374–₹3,295 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ETHOSLTD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ETHOSLTD reaching ₹4,762 (2×) within 5 years is 4%.
What is the bull case for ETHOSLTD?
Ethos is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in ETHOSLTD?
A rich 68.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 7.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.