EXCELINDUS
Excel Industries Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Excel Industries Limited (EXCELINDUS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is EXCELINDUS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Excel Industries Limited (EXCELINDUS) trades at ₹1,029,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, Excel Industries Limited (EXCELINDUS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.1× earnings, ROE of 4.6%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
EXCELINDUS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How EXCELINDUS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- EXCELINDUS's market cap of 1,294 Cr ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- EXCELINDUS's book value of ₹1,355 ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- EXCELINDUS's promoter holding of 51.9% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- EXCELINDUS's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -2.0% ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold 3-year revenue growth or debt-to-equity ratio figures for EXCELINDUS, as of 9 Aug 2026, so those are not ranked here.
Is EXCELINDUS overvalued? EXCELINDUS P/E vs peers
EXCELINDUS trades at 17.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
EXCELINDUS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of EXCELINDUS history (13%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXCELINDUS 2027 | ₹620 | ₹1,046 | ₹1,767 | +2% |
| EXCELINDUS 2028 | ₹505 | ₹1,064 | ₹2,242 | +3% |
| EXCELINDUS 2029 | ₹435 | ₹1,082 | ₹2,689 | +5% |
| EXCELINDUS 2030 | ₹389 | ₹1,100 | ₹3,115 | +7% |
| EXCELINDUS 2031 | ₹343 | ₹1,119 | ₹3,654 | +9% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability EXCELINDUS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for EXCELINDUS
- EXCELINDUS's P/E of 17.1x is lower than 68% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 0.76×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,689.
The bear case & risks
- EXCELINDUS's return on equity of 4.6% ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹435.
EXCELINDUS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years EXCELINDUS compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹620-₹1,767, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
EXCELINDUS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
EXCELINDUS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds EXCELINDUS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the EXCELINDUS price target & forecast page.
EXCELINDUS Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. EXCELINDUS scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
EXCELINDUS MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy EXCELINDUS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Dhan | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 32.48% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the EXCELINDUS MTF page.
About Excel Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Excel Industries Limited (EXCELINDUS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,294 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the EXCELINDUS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Excel Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
EXCELINDUS analysis, FAQs
Is Excel Industries Limited (EXCELINDUS) a good buy?
On the numbers, Excel Industries Limited (EXCELINDUS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.1× earnings, ROE of 4.6%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is EXCELINDUS overvalued or undervalued?
EXCELINDUS trades at 17.1× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the EXCELINDUS share price target for 2031?
EXCELINDUS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,119, with an 80% range of ₹343-₹3,654 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability EXCELINDUS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of EXCELINDUS reaching ₹2,058 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for EXCELINDUS?
EXCELINDUS's P/E of 17.1x is lower than 68% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.76×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in EXCELINDUS?
EXCELINDUS's return on equity of 4.6% ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.