Case study

EXICOM

Exicom Tele-Systems Ltd.

High-risk on the numbers1y model -4.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

25Score

Exicom Tele-Systems Ltd. (EXICOM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is EXICOM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Exicom Tele-Systems Ltd. (EXICOM) trades at ₹159,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.

On the numbers, Exicom Tele-Systems Ltd. (EXICOM) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 46.8× earnings, ROE of -40.8%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

EXICOM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,210 Cr
Current price
₹159
P/E ratio
46.8×
P/B ratio
3.40×
Book value
₹47
ROCE
-14.7%
ROE
-40.8%
Piotroski F-Score
1/8

How EXICOM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is EXICOM overvalued? EXICOM P/E vs peers

EXICOM trades at 46.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

EXICOM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.4y of EXICOM history (-15%/yr drift, 55%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
EXICOM 2027₹76₹152₹306-4%
EXICOM 2028₹54₹146₹394-8%
EXICOM 2029₹41₹140₹470-12%
EXICOM 2030₹32₹134₹553-16%
EXICOM 2031₹26₹128₹632-19%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability EXICOM goes up, or doubles?

47%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
43%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹318 within 5 years

The bull case for EXICOM

  • Exicom Tele-Systems Ltd. is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹470.

The bear case & risks

  • EXICOM's P/E of 46.8x is lower than 28% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • EXICOM's Piotroski F-Score of 1/8 ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹41.

EXICOM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.4 years EXICOM compounded at -15%/year with annualized volatility of 55%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹76-₹306, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

EXICOM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.4 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.2%
80% range₹76-₹306
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
12.1%
80% range₹41-₹470
P(price ↑)45%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
19.4%
80% range₹26-₹632
P(price ↑)43%
P(price 2×)23%

EXICOM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
EXICOM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds EXICOM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the EXICOM price target & forecast page.

EXICOM Piotroski F-Score: 1/8, how financially strong is it?

1/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. EXICOM scores 1/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

EXICOM MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy EXICOM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST42.92%2.3×
Groww42.98%2.3×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
Pocketful43.27%2.3×
Fyers100.00%1.0×
Anand Rathi100.00%1.0×
Share India42.97%2.3×

Compare every broker on the EXICOM MTF page.

About Exicom Tele-Systems Ltd.: sector, index & market-cap context

Exicom Tele-Systems Ltd. (EXICOM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,210 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the EXICOM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Exicom Tele-Systems Ltd.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

EXICOM analysis, FAQs

Is Exicom Tele-Systems Ltd. (EXICOM) a good buy?

On the numbers, Exicom Tele-Systems Ltd. (EXICOM) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 46.8× earnings, ROE of -40.8%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is EXICOM overvalued or undervalued?

EXICOM trades at 46.8× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the EXICOM share price target for 2031?

EXICOM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹128, with an 80% range of ₹26-₹632 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability EXICOM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of EXICOM reaching ₹318 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for EXICOM?

Exicom Tele-Systems Ltd. is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in EXICOM?

EXICOM's P/E of 46.8x is lower than 28% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. EXICOM's Piotroski F-Score of 1/8 ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

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