EXIDEIND
Exide Industries
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Exide Industries (EXIDEIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is EXIDEIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Exide Industries (EXIDEIND) trades at ₹381,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Exide Industries (EXIDEIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 39.0× earnings, ROE of 6.0%, a 20% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
EXIDEIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is EXIDEIND overvalued? EXIDEIND P/E vs its sector
EXIDEIND's P/E of 39.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.52% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
EXIDEIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of EXIDEIND history (-21%/yr drift, 29%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXIDEIND 2027 | ₹205 | ₹298 | ₹431 | -22% |
| EXIDEIND 2028 | ₹137 | ₹231 | ₹391 | -39% |
| EXIDEIND 2029 | ₹94 | ₹180 | ₹335 | -53% |
| EXIDEIND 2030 | ₹67 | ₹140 | ₹290 | -63% |
| EXIDEIND 2031 | ₹48 | ₹110 | ₹246 | -71% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability EXIDEIND goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for EXIDEIND
- Exide Industries is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹335.
The bear case & risks
- At 39.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 6.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 20% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹94.
EXIDEIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years EXIDEIND compounded at -21%/year with annualized volatility of 29%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹205–₹431, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
EXIDEIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
EXIDEIND price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds EXIDEIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the EXIDEIND price target & forecast page.
EXIDEIND Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. EXIDEIND scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
EXIDEIND MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy EXIDEIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 29.8% | 3.4× |
| Zerodha | 25.4% | 3.9× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 23.0% | 4.3× |
Compare every broker on the EXIDEIND MTF page.
EXIDEIND vs peers,sector comparison
About Exide Industries: sector, index & market-cap context
Exide Industries (EXIDEIND) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹32,436 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the EXIDEIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Exide Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
EXIDEIND analysis, FAQs
Is Exide Industries (EXIDEIND) a good buy?
On the numbers, Exide Industries (EXIDEIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 39.0× earnings, ROE of 6.0%, a 20% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is EXIDEIND overvalued or undervalued?
EXIDEIND trades at 39.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the EXIDEIND share price target for 2031?
EXIDEIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹110, with an 80% range of ₹48–₹246 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability EXIDEIND doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of EXIDEIND reaching ₹762 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for EXIDEIND?
Exide Industries is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in EXIDEIND?
At 39.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 6.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 20% chance of finishing above today's price.