Case study

FABTECH

FABTECH

Tread carefully1y model -30.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

FABTECH (FABTECH) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is FABTECH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

FABTECH (FABTECH) trades at ₹157,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100.

On the numbers, FABTECH (FABTECH) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.8× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

FABTECH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹697 Cr
Current price
₹157
P/E ratio
18.8×
P/B ratio
1.66×
Book value
₹94
ROCE
13.6%
ROE
12.5%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is FABTECH overvalued? FABTECH P/E vs its sector

FABTECH's P/E of 18.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

FABTECH P/E
18.8×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

FABTECH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.7y of FABTECH history (-23%/yr drift, 54%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
FABTECH 2027₹53₹108₹215-30%
FABTECH 2028₹27₹73₹202-53%
FABTECH 2029₹15₹51₹171-67%
FABTECH 2030₹9₹35₹139-78%
FABTECH 2031₹5₹24₹110-85%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability FABTECH goes up, or doubles?

25%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
6%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
2%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹311 within 5 years

The bull case for FABTECH

  • A 18.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • A healthy 12.5% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹171.

The bear case & risks

  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹15.

FABTECH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 0.7 years FABTECH compounded at -23%/year with annualized volatility of 54%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹53₹215, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

FABTECH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 0.7 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
30.3%
80% range₹53–₹215
P(price ↑)25%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
67.2%
80% range₹15–₹171
P(price ↑)12%
P(price 2×)3%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
84.8%
80% range₹5–₹110
P(price ↑)6%
P(price 2×)2%

FABTECH price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
FABTECH simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds FABTECH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the FABTECH price target & forecast page.

FABTECH Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. FABTECH scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

FABTECH MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FABTECH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.0%2.9×
Dhan50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the FABTECH MTF page.

FABTECH vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
FABTECH (this stock)18.8×₹697 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About FABTECH: sector, index & market-cap context

FABTECH (FABTECH) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹697 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the FABTECH Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of FABTECH's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

FABTECH analysis, FAQs

Is FABTECH (FABTECH) a good buy?

On the numbers, FABTECH (FABTECH) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.8× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is FABTECH overvalued or undervalued?

FABTECH trades at 18.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the FABTECH share price target for 2031?

FABTECH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹24, with an 80% range of ₹5₹110 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability FABTECH doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of FABTECH reaching ₹311 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.

What is the bull case for FABTECH?

A 18.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 12.5% return on equity.

What are the risks in FABTECH?

A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on FABTECH