FACT
FACT
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
FACT (FACT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is FACT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
FACT (FACT) trades at ₹906,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 22/100.
On the numbers, FACT (FACT) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 22/100, weighing expensive at 3960.0× earnings, ROE of 1.6%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
FACT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is FACT overvalued? FACT P/E vs its sector
FACT's P/E of 3960.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.02% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
FACT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of FACT history (-7%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FACT 2027 | ₹408 | ₹737 | ₹1,327 | -17% |
| FACT 2028 | ₹269 | ₹617 | ₹1,413 | -30% |
| FACT 2029 | ₹186 | ₹520 | ₹1,434 | -41% |
| FACT 2030 | ₹134 | ₹432 | ₹1,395 | -51% |
| FACT 2031 | ₹97 | ₹367 | ₹1,357 | -59% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability FACT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for FACT
- FACT is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,434.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 3960.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 42.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Return on equity is a soft 1.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹186.
FACT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years FACT compounded at -7%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹408–₹1,327, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
FACT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
FACT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds FACT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the FACT price target & forecast page.
FACT Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. FACT scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
FACT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FACT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.2% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.2% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.2% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the FACT MTF page.
FACT vs peers,sector comparison
About FACT: sector, index & market-cap context
FACT (FACT) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹58,644 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the FACT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of FACT's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
FACT analysis, FAQs
Is FACT (FACT) a good buy?
On the numbers, FACT (FACT) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 22/100, weighing expensive at 3960.0× earnings, ROE of 1.6%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is FACT overvalued or undervalued?
FACT trades at 3960.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the FACT share price target for 2031?
FACT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹367, with an 80% range of ₹97–₹1,357 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability FACT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of FACT reaching ₹1,770 (2×) within 5 years is 6%.
What is the bull case for FACT?
FACT is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in FACT?
A rich 3960.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 42.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. Return on equity is a soft 1.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.