FCL
Fineotex Chemical Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Fineotex Chemical Limited (FCL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is FCL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Fineotex Chemical Limited (FCL) trades at ₹42,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.
On the numbers, Fineotex Chemical Limited (FCL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 39.6× earnings, ROE of 13.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
FCL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How FCL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- FCL's market cap of 4,849 Cr ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FCL's book value of ₹8 ranks in the 11th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FCL's promoter holding of 62.3% ranks in the 56th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FCL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 7.0% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FCL's 3-year revenue growth of 14.0% ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FCL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01x is lower than 98% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is FCL overvalued? FCL P/E vs peers
FCL trades at 39.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
FCL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of FCL history (30%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCL 2027 | ₹22 | ₹42 | ₹79 | +0% |
| FCL 2028 | ₹17 | ₹42 | ₹104 | +1% |
| FCL 2029 | ₹14 | ₹42 | ₹128 | +1% |
| FCL 2030 | ₹12 | ₹42 | ₹150 | +1% |
| FCL 2031 | ₹10 | ₹42 | ₹173 | +1% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability FCL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for FCL
- FCL's return on equity of 13.5% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FCL's return on capital employed of 18.3% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹128.
The bear case & risks
- FCL's P/E of 39.6x is lower than 34% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹14.
FCL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years FCL compounded at 30%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹22-₹79, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
FCL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
FCL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds FCL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the FCL price target & forecast page.
FCL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. FCL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
FCL MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FCL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 40.96% | 2.4× |
| Groww | 41.02% | 2.4× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.98% | 2.4× |
| Paytm Money | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 41.10% | 2.4× |
| Anand Rathi | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 40.87% | 2.4× |
Compare every broker on the FCL MTF page.
About Fineotex Chemical Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Fineotex Chemical Limited (FCL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,849 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the FCL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Fineotex Chemical Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
FCL analysis, FAQs
Is Fineotex Chemical Limited (FCL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Fineotex Chemical Limited (FCL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 39.6× earnings, ROE of 13.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is FCL overvalued or undervalued?
FCL trades at 39.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the FCL share price target for 2031?
FCL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹42, with an 80% range of ₹10-₹173 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability FCL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of FCL reaching ₹83 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for FCL?
FCL's return on equity of 13.5% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. FCL's return on capital employed of 18.3% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in FCL?
FCL's P/E of 39.6x is lower than 34% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.