FDC
FDC Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
FDC Limited (FDC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is FDC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
FDC Limited (FDC) trades at ₹404,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, FDC Limited (FDC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.1× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
FDC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is FDC overvalued? FDC P/E vs its sector
FDC's P/E of 22.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.24% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
FDC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of FDC history (-9%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDC 2027 | ₹230 | ₹345 | ₹504 | -12% |
| FDC 2028 | ₹174 | ₹299 | ₹517 | -23% |
| FDC 2029 | ₹132 | ₹263 | ₹516 | -32% |
| FDC 2030 | ₹105 | ₹230 | ₹501 | -41% |
| FDC 2031 | ₹83 | ₹201 | ₹479 | -48% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability FDC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for FDC
- A 22.1× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 12.5% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹516.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 34% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹132.
FDC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years FDC compounded at -9%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹230–₹504, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
FDC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
FDC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds FDC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the FDC price target & forecast page.
FDC Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. FDC scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
FDC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FDC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.8% | 3.4× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 29.8% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the FDC MTF page.
FDC vs peers,sector comparison
About FDC Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
FDC Limited (FDC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,569 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the FDC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of FDC Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
FDC analysis, FAQs
Is FDC Limited (FDC) a good buy?
On the numbers, FDC Limited (FDC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.1× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is FDC overvalued or undervalued?
FDC trades at 22.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the FDC share price target for 2031?
FDC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹201, with an 80% range of ₹83–₹479 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability FDC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of FDC reaching ₹779 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.
What is the bull case for FDC?
A 22.1× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 12.5% return on equity.
What are the risks in FDC?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 34% chance of finishing above today's price.