Case study

FDC

FDC Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +7.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

FDC Limited (FDC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is FDC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

FDC Limited (FDC) trades at ₹370,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, FDC Limited (FDC) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.6× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

FDC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹6,021 Cr
Current price
₹370
P/E ratio
19.6×
P/B ratio
2.42×
Book value
₹153
Dividend yield
1.35%
ROCE
16.7%
ROE
12.5%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How FDC ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is FDC overvalued? FDC P/E vs peers

FDC trades at 19.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

FDC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of FDC history (7%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
FDC 2027₹270₹397₹584+7%
FDC 2028₹245₹426₹739+15%
FDC 2029₹233₹457₹897+24%
FDC 2030₹227₹490₹1,058+33%
FDC 2031₹224₹526₹1,236+42%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability FDC goes up, or doubles?

59%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
69%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
31%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹740 within 5 years

The bull case for FDC

  • FDC's P/E of 19.6x is lower than 64% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • FDC's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹897.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹233.

FDC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years FDC compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹270-₹584, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

FDC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.3%
80% range₹270-₹584
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
23.5%
80% range₹233-₹897
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
42.2%
80% range₹224-₹1,236
P(price ↑)69%
P(price 2×)31%

FDC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
FDC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds FDC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the FDC price target & forecast page.

FDC Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. FDC scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

FDC MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FDC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha29.61%3.4×
Groww29.64%3.4×
Dhan29.61%3.4×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money35.00%2.9×
Pocketful29.55%3.4×
Fyers30.30%3.3×
Anand Rathi29.61%3.4×
Bajaj Broking30.00%3.3×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST29.41%3.4×

Compare every broker on the FDC MTF page.

About FDC Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

FDC Limited (FDC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,021 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the FDC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of FDC Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

FDC analysis, FAQs

Is FDC Limited (FDC) a good buy?

On the numbers, FDC Limited (FDC) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.6× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is FDC overvalued or undervalued?

FDC trades at 19.6× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the FDC share price target for 2031?

FDC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹526, with an 80% range of ₹224-₹1,236 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability FDC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of FDC reaching ₹740 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.

What is the bull case for FDC?

FDC's P/E of 19.6x is lower than 64% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. FDC's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in FDC?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on FDC