Case study

FEDDERSHOL

FEDDERS HOLDING LTD.

Mixed signals1y model +2.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

52Score

FEDDERS HOLDING LTD. (FEDDERSHOL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is FEDDERSHOL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

FEDDERS HOLDING LTD. (FEDDERSHOL) trades at ₹43,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, FEDDERS HOLDING LTD. (FEDDERSHOL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.1× earnings, ROE of 11.6%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

FEDDERSHOL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹875 Cr
Current price
₹43
P/E ratio
11.1×
P/B ratio
1.21×
Book value
₹36
ROCE
11.2%
ROE
11.6%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How FEDDERSHOL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for FEDDERSHOL, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is FEDDERSHOL overvalued? FEDDERSHOL P/E vs peers

FEDDERSHOL trades at 11.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

FEDDERSHOL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of FEDDERSHOL history (23%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
FEDDERSHOL 2027₹24₹44₹82+3%
FEDDERSHOL 2028₹19₹46₹108+6%
FEDDERSHOL 2029₹16₹47₹134+9%
FEDDERSHOL 2030₹14₹48₹162+12%
FEDDERSHOL 2031₹12₹50₹198+15%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability FEDDERSHOL goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹87 within 5 years

The bull case for FEDDERSHOL

  • FEDDERSHOL's P/E of 11.1x is lower than 84% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.21×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹134.

The bear case & risks

  • FEDDERSHOL's return on equity of 11.6% ranks in the 58th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹16.

FEDDERSHOL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years FEDDERSHOL compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹24-₹82, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

FEDDERSHOL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.8%
80% range₹24-₹82
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
8.5%
80% range₹16-₹134
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
14.6%
80% range₹12-₹198
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)30%

FEDDERSHOL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
FEDDERSHOL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds FEDDERSHOL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the FEDDERSHOL price target & forecast page.

FEDDERSHOL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. FEDDERSHOL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

FEDDERSHOL MTF margin & leverage across 5 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FEDDERSHOL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 5 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww37.96%2.6×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST37.91%2.6×

Compare every broker on the FEDDERSHOL MTF page.

About FEDDERS HOLDING LTD.: sector, index & market-cap context

FEDDERS HOLDING LTD. (FEDDERSHOL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹875 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the FEDDERSHOL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of FEDDERS HOLDING LTD.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

FEDDERSHOL analysis, FAQs

Is FEDDERS HOLDING LTD. (FEDDERSHOL) a good buy?

On the numbers, FEDDERS HOLDING LTD. (FEDDERSHOL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.1× earnings, ROE of 11.6%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is FEDDERSHOL overvalued or undervalued?

FEDDERSHOL trades at 11.1× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the FEDDERSHOL share price target for 2031?

FEDDERSHOL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹50, with an 80% range of ₹12-₹198 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability FEDDERSHOL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of FEDDERSHOL reaching ₹87 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for FEDDERSHOL?

FEDDERSHOL's P/E of 11.1x is lower than 84% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.21×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in FEDDERSHOL?

FEDDERSHOL's return on equity of 11.6% ranks in the 58th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on FEDDERSHOL