Case study

FEDFINA

Fedbank Financial Services Ltd.

Worth a closer look1y model +3.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

65Score

Fedbank Financial Services Ltd. (FEDFINA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is FEDFINA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Fedbank Financial Services Ltd. (FEDFINA) trades at ₹150,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100.

On the numbers, Fedbank Financial Services Ltd. (FEDFINA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.6× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

FEDFINA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,609 Cr
Current price
₹150
P/E ratio
14.6×
P/B ratio
1.92×
Book value
₹78
ROCE
9.1%
ROE
12.6%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How FEDFINA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for FEDFINA, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is FEDFINA overvalued? FEDFINA P/E vs peers

FEDFINA trades at 14.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

FEDFINA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.6y of FEDFINA history (2%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
FEDFINA 2027₹96₹155₹251+4%
FEDFINA 2028₹82₹161₹318+8%
FEDFINA 2029₹73₹168₹387+12%
FEDFINA 2030₹66₹174₹459+17%
FEDFINA 2031₹62₹181₹528+21%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability FEDFINA goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹299 within 5 years

The bull case for FEDFINA

  • FEDFINA's P/E of 14.6x is lower than 75% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • FEDFINA's return on equity of 12.6% ranks in the 62nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹387.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹73.

FEDFINA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.6 years FEDFINA compounded at 2%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹96-₹251, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

FEDFINA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.9%
80% range₹96-₹251
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
12.2%
80% range₹73-₹387
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
21.1%
80% range₹62-₹528
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)28%

FEDFINA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
FEDFINA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds FEDFINA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the FEDFINA price target & forecast page.

FEDFINA Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. FEDFINA scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

FEDFINA MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FEDFINA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.18%3.0×
Groww33.30%3.0×
Dhan33.18%3.0×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money33.44%3.0×
Pocketful33.62%3.0×
Fyers34.48%2.9×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.18%3.0×
Bajaj Broking34.00%2.9×
Share India33.29%3.0×

Compare every broker on the FEDFINA MTF page.

About Fedbank Financial Services Ltd.: sector, index & market-cap context

Fedbank Financial Services Ltd. (FEDFINA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,609 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the FEDFINA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Fedbank Financial Services Ltd.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

FEDFINA analysis, FAQs

Is Fedbank Financial Services Ltd. (FEDFINA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Fedbank Financial Services Ltd. (FEDFINA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.6× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is FEDFINA overvalued or undervalued?

FEDFINA trades at 14.6× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the FEDFINA share price target for 2031?

FEDFINA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹181, with an 80% range of ₹62-₹528 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability FEDFINA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of FEDFINA reaching ₹299 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for FEDFINA?

FEDFINA's P/E of 14.6x is lower than 75% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. FEDFINA's return on equity of 12.6% ranks in the 62nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in FEDFINA?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on FEDFINA