FERMENTA
Fermenta Biotech Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Fermenta Biotech Limited (FERMENTA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is FERMENTA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Fermenta Biotech Limited (FERMENTA) trades at ₹561,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.
On the numbers, Fermenta Biotech Limited (FERMENTA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 26.2× earnings, ROE of 16.4%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
FERMENTA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How FERMENTA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- FERMENTA's market cap of 1,650 Cr ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FERMENTA's book value of ₹138 ranks in the 62nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FERMENTA's promoter holding of 64.1% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FERMENTA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 65.0% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FERMENTA's 3-year revenue growth of 14.0% ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FERMENTA's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28x is lower than 54% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is FERMENTA overvalued? FERMENTA P/E vs peers
FERMENTA trades at 26.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
FERMENTA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of FERMENTA history (24%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERMENTA 2027 | ₹277 | ₹543 | ₹1,064 | -3% |
| FERMENTA 2028 | ₹203 | ₹527 | ₹1,369 | -6% |
| FERMENTA 2029 | ₹158 | ₹511 | ₹1,653 | -9% |
| FERMENTA 2030 | ₹127 | ₹496 | ₹1,930 | -11% |
| FERMENTA 2031 | ₹104 | ₹481 | ₹2,222 | -14% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability FERMENTA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for FERMENTA
- FERMENTA's return on equity of 16.4% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FERMENTA's return on capital employed of 20.6% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,653.
The bear case & risks
- FERMENTA's P/E of 26.2x is lower than 51% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹158.
FERMENTA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years FERMENTA compounded at 24%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹277-₹1,064, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
FERMENTA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
FERMENTA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds FERMENTA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the FERMENTA price target & forecast page.
FERMENTA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. FERMENTA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
FERMENTA MTF margin & leverage across 6 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FERMENTA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 6 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 38.95% | 2.6× |
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Groww | 39.06% | 2.6× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the FERMENTA MTF page.
About Fermenta Biotech Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Fermenta Biotech Limited (FERMENTA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,650 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the FERMENTA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Fermenta Biotech Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
FERMENTA analysis, FAQs
Is Fermenta Biotech Limited (FERMENTA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Fermenta Biotech Limited (FERMENTA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 26.2× earnings, ROE of 16.4%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is FERMENTA overvalued or undervalued?
FERMENTA trades at 26.2× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the FERMENTA share price target for 2031?
FERMENTA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹481, with an 80% range of ₹104-₹2,222 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability FERMENTA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of FERMENTA reaching ₹1,119 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for FERMENTA?
FERMENTA's return on equity of 16.4% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. FERMENTA's return on capital employed of 20.6% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in FERMENTA?
FERMENTA's P/E of 26.2x is lower than 51% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.